6 November 2026, 16:30 UTC

Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya Stars League prediction & result

Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium, Wakla
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Al Wakrah 0-3 Al Shahaniya.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Al Wakrah, 22% draw, 25% Al Shahaniya — fair odds of 1.89, 4.55 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Al Wakrah at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ayoub Assal
33'
45+3'
⚽Omair Abdulla (OG)
🔁Omair Abdullaout: Mohamed Al-Bakri
45'
🔁Rabh Boussafiout: Nasser Al-Yazidi
45'
🔁Nabil Irfanout: Mohamed Simo
57'
67'
Francesco Antonucci
70'
🔁Mohamed Al Aeldinout: Yousef·Hani Ballan
75'
🔁Lucas Gabriel Ribeiro Firmoout: Jawad El Jemili
76'
⚽Álvaro Sanz Catalánassist: Mohamed Abdelfatah Surag
🔁Luis Albertoout: Tamer Seyam
81'
82'
🔁Francesco Antonucciout: Mohamed Sayyar
82'
🔁Mohamed Abdelfatah Suragout: Amenallah Meherzi
90+2'
Álvaro Sanz Catalán
90+4'
⚽Abdoulaye Traoreassist: Amenallah Meherzi
90+6'
•Abdoulaye Traore

Match stats — Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya

60%Possession40%
19Shots13
4On target4
14Corners4
1.67xG1.68

Goals against chances

Al Wakrah0 from 1.67 xGless than the chances were worth
Al Shahaniya3 from 1.68 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al Wakrah 4-2-3-1
  • 99Omair Al SayedG
  • 16Nabil IrfanD
  • 3P. CalioneD
  • 2Lucas MendesD
  • 12Murad Naji HusseinD
  • 93A. LaïdouniM
  • 6Omar Al OsadM
  • 7A. AssalM
  • 18Luis AlbertoM
  • 75A. ZouhzouhM
  • 17R. BoussafiF
Substitutes
  • 1Mohammed Al BakriG
  • 28Yousef El KhatibD
  • 20Nasser Al YazidiM
  • 15Almahdi AliD
  • 26Abdollah Ali SaeiM
  • 34Moayed HassanF
  • 5Ahmed FadelM
  • 66Mohamed SimoD
  • 19Tamer SeyamF
Coach: J. Sierra
Al Shahaniya 4-4-2
  • 99Shehab EllethyG
  • 2A. MohamedD
  • 22S. van BeekD
  • 31Z. ŠarlijaD
  • 19Abdulla Al SulaitiD
  • 9A. TraoréM
  • 88Moameen MutasemM
  • 6Álvaro SanzM
  • 21Mohamed SuragM
  • 81Lucas Gabriel Ribeiro FirmoF
  • 10F. AntonucciF
Substitutes
  • 20Ali QadryM
  • 8A. MeherziM
  • 32Khalid MuftahD
  • 16Mohamed AbdallahG
  • 77Yousef Hani BallanD
  • 17Abdulrahman Fahmi MoustafaF
  • 3Bahaa EllithiD
  • 11Jawad El JemiliM
  • 14Salah Alawi Al YahriM
Coach: Younes Ali

Form going into Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya

Al Wakrah

Stars League

  • L1-3away to Al-Duhail SC31 October 2026
  • W3-2Al-Arabi SC24 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Al Ahli Doha16 October 2026
  • W3-2Al-Gharafa8 October 2026

Al Shahaniya

Stars League

  • L1-2Al Ahli Doha30 October 2026
  • L0-4Al Sadd22 October 2026
  • L0-6Al-Arabi SC16 October 2026
  • W1-0Lusail City10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Al Wakrah scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Al Wakrah had three goals or more.
  • Al Wakrah won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Al Shahaniya failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Al Shahaniya conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Al Shahaniya had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Stars League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Al Wakrah93241419-511
9Al Shahaniya93151221-910

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya

  • 29 January 2026Al Wakrah 4–0 Al ShahaniyaStars League
  • 27 November 2025Al Wakrah 3–0 Al ShahaniyaQSL Cup
  • 29 August 2025Al Shahaniya 0–1 Al WakrahStars League
  • 31 January 2025Al Wakrah 0–1 Al ShahaniyaStars League
  • 23 August 2024Al Shahaniya 0–1 Al WakrahStars League
  • 2 March 2024Al Shahaniya 3–1 Al WakrahQFA Cup

Leading scorers: Al Wakrah and Al Shahaniya

Al Wakrah

GoalsAssists

  • B. Bounedjah40

Al Shahaniya

GoalsAssists

  • A. Traoré40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Al Shahaniya won 3–0 at Al Wakrah. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Wakrah at 53% and given a win for Al Shahaniya 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Omair Abdulla (own goal) 45+3' for Al Shahaniya, Álvaro Sanz Catalán 76' for Al Shahaniya, Abdoulaye Traore 90+4' for Al Shahaniya. On expected goals it finished 1.67–1.68.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Al Wakrah a 16.6% chance to finish in the top four: 25.3% after a win, 7.2% after a draw, 3.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 3.0%, 13.6 points lower than before the match.

For Al Shahaniya the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 46.8% going in: 19.6% after a win, 46.9% after a draw, 57.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 19.6%, 27.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Stars League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.