6 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Barracas Central vs Racing Club Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Claudio Fabian Tapia, Barracas
Referee: Dario Herrera
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Barracas Central 2-0 Racing Club.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Barracas Central, 31% draw, 26% Racing Club — fair odds of 2.33, 3.23 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Barracas Central at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Barracas Central99%Draw1%Racing Club0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Nicolas Orsiniassist: Rodrigo Bogarin
43'
🔁Dardo Milocout: Esteban Rolón
45'
Rodrigo Insua
59'
59'
🔁Tomás Conechnyout: Adrián Fernández
59'
🔁Elías David Torresout: Lautaro Diaz
60'
🔁Alejandro Joaquín Telloout: Francisco Fraga
🔁Tomás Porraout: Norberto Briasco
61'
🔁Rodrigo Insuaout: Elías Pereyra
61'
🔁Juan Espinolaout: Juan Pablo Insúa
69'
🔁Nicolas Orsiniout: Facundo Bruera
69'
73'
🔁Matías Zarachoout: Diego Ulises·Ortegoza
⚽Norberto Briasco
77'
81'
🔁Matías Kranevitterout: Leonel Pérez
90'
Ignacio Agustín Rodríguez
90+3'
Gonzalo Escudero

Match stats — Barracas Central vs Racing Club

44%Possession56%
17Shots10
4On target2
1Corners8
2.48xG0.6

Goals against chances

Barracas Central2 from 2.48 xGabout what the chances were worth
Racing Club0 from 0.60 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Barracas Central 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. EspínolaG
  • 13R. BarriosD
  • 2N. CapraroD
  • 15Y. RakD
  • 6R. InsúaD
  • 10I. TapiaM
  • 5D. MilocM
  • 28R. BogarínM
  • 8T. PorraM
  • 24Enzo TabordaM
  • 34N. OrsiniF
Substitutes
  • 11N. BriascoF
  • 77F. BrueraF
  • 37G. CampiD
  • 20J. CandiaF
  • 16Ivan GuarazM
  • 38Juan Pablo InsúaG
  • 36Tomas LavezziF
  • 4D. MartínezD
  • 17E. PereyraD
Coach: D. Ayude
Racing Club 4-3-3
  • 25F. CambesesG
  • 4E. CannavoD
  • 2M. PérezD
  • 43G. EscuderoD
  • 19I. RodríguezD
  • 46A. TelloM
  • 5M. KranevitterM
  • 20G. LodicoM
  • 11M. ZarachoF
  • 22E. TorresF
  • 17T. ConechnyF
Substitutes
  • 27L. CordobaF
  • 32L. DíazF
  • 23N. ColomboD
  • 24A. FernándezM
  • 40F. FragaF
  • 31Benjamín GonzálezD
  • 16D. OrtegozaM
  • 33L. PérezM
  • 30M. TagliamonteG
Coach: S. Romero

Form going into Barracas Central vs Racing Club

Barracas Central

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • D2-2away to Belgrano Cordoba1 November 2026
  • W2-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto26 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Sarmiento Junin19 October 2026
  • W2-0Huracan10 October 2026

Racing Club

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • W2-1Aldosivi31 October 2026
  • L0-1away to River Plate25 October 2026
  • D1-1Independiente18 October 2026
  • L0-2Belgrano Cordoba11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Barracas Central went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Barracas Central scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Barracas Central conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Racing Club conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Racing Club failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Racing Club had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Barracas Central167541713+426
13Racing Club164391624-815

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Barracas Central vs Racing Club

  • 25 April 2026Racing Club 1–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 12 July 2025Racing Club 0–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 January 2025Barracas Central 1–3 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 6 November 2024Barracas Central 0–2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 22 June 2023Racing Club 1–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 6 August 2022Barracas Central 0–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Barracas Central vs Racing Club record →

The result against the call

Barracas Central beat Racing Club 2–0. The model had made a win for Barracas Central its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Nicolas Orsini 43' for Barracas Central, Norberto Briasco 77' for Barracas Central. On expected goals it finished 2.48–0.60.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Racing Club a 42.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 0.0% after a win, 43.0% after a draw, 65.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 65.7%, 23.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.