Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: Alemannia Aachen 2-1 Preußen Münster.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Alemannia Aachen, 23% draw, 21% Preußen Münster — fair odds of 1.79, 4.35 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Alemannia Aachen at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster
Line-ups
- 1M. RiemannG
- 37J. da Silva KialaD
- 4D. LeonardD
- 2P. BagalianisD
- 3Matti WagnerD
- 7L. ScepanikM
- 28D. WiebeM
- 20Georg ErmolaevM
- 10M. LouneM
- 8L. KösterF
- 27M. SchröersF
- 23S. BajićG
- 19N. BitumazalaM
- 15M. HanrathsD
- 18Ken IzekorF
- 29K. KoscierskiD
- 9D. StarodidF
- 17F. TorsielloF
- 11M. WäschenbachM
- 30Justin-Kai von der HitzD
- 38M. HarsmanG
- 2L. KolbeD
- 24N. KoulisD
- 3T. DietrichD
- 36N. VarelmannD
- 43R. RöschD
- 14C. MakridisM
- 6Wesley AdehM
- 26P. MaierM
- 33F. HiglM
- 8J. MeesF
- 44Samuel Moïse AlthausM
- 23M. BatmazF
- 1M. BehrensG
- 19M. DemirhanM
- 28Montell NdikomF
- 16T. PaetowD
- 21R. PreißingerM
- 10M. SchulzM
- 4A. TikvićD
Form going into Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster
Alemannia Aachen
3. Liga
- W2-1away to Stuttgart II24 October 2026
- W2-0Hansa Rostock17 October 2026
- L0-3away to SV Wehen14 October 2026
Preußen Münster
3. Liga
- W1-0Fortuna Köln25 October 2026
- L2-3away to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach17 October 2026
- L1-2Fortuna Düsseldorf14 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Preußen Münster | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster
- 5 February 2023Preussen Munster 4–0 Alemannia AachenRegionalliga - West
- 24 September 2022Alemannia Aachen 4–2 Preussen MunsterRegionalliga - West
- 11 December 2021Alemannia Aachen 0–2 Preussen MunsterRegionalliga - West
- 14 August 2021Preussen Munster 2–1 Alemannia AachenRegionalliga - West
- 3 March 2021Alemannia Aachen 1–4 Preussen MunsterRegionalliga - West
- 16 December 2020Preussen Munster 1–0 Alemannia AachenRegionalliga - West
Leading scorers: Alemannia Aachen and Preußen Münster
Alemannia Aachen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Preußen Münster
GoalsAssists
- F. Higl41
- Montell Ndikom40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Alemannia Aachen beat Preußen Münster 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Alemannia Aachen at 56%. The goals: Mika Schroers 14' for Alemannia Aachen, Joel da Silva Kiala 43' for Alemannia Aachen, Montell Ndikom 90' for Preußen Münster. Sent off: Tim-Justin Dietrich (Preußen Münster) 82'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Alemannia Aachen a 27.3% chance to finish in the top three: 29.9% after a win, 24.4% after a draw, 20.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 29.9%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.
For Preußen Münster the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 26.7% going in: 18.2% after a win, 25.2% after a draw, 29.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 29.0%, 2.3 points higher than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Alemannia Aachen v Preußen Münster has moved
First published on 18 Oct at 44% / 27% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 56% / 23% / 21%: the biggest move is Alemannia Aachen's chance of winning, up 12 points.
- Alemannia Aachen win56%▲ +12
- Draw23%▼ −4
- Preußen Münster win21%▼ −8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.