1 November 2026, 12:30 UTC

FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim 3. Liga prediction & result

Ludwigspark Stadion
Referee: Felix Prigan
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC Saarbrücken 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% FC Saarbrücken, 25% draw, 26% Waldhof Mannheim — fair odds of 2.04, 4.00 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Saarbrücken at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Saarbrücken96%Draw4%Waldhof Mannheim0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
🔁Diego Michelout: Maximilian Thalhammer
19'
⚽Noah Joel Sarenren Bazeeassist: Terrence Boyd
⚽Kai Brünkerassist: Niko Bretschneider
25'
Christian Kühlwetter
38'
🔁Gokdeniz Gurpuzout: Maurice Multhaup
59'
🔁Kelsey Owusuout: Alexander Staff
59'
⚽Florian Pickassist: Patrick Sontheimer
60'
62'
🔁Noah Joel Sarenren Bazeeout: Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa Pessoa
62'
🔁Terrence Boydout: Julian Ulbricht
🔁Christian Kühlwetterout: Daniel Gleiber
65'
79'
🔁Oluwaseun Ogbemudiaout: Djayson Eduardo Cardoso Mendes
79'
🔁Lovis Frederik Bierschenkout: Nolan Xavier Muteba N'Tumba
🔁Kai Brünkerout: Kaan Caliskaner
80'
83'
Julian Ulbricht
Philip Fahrner
85'
Daniel Gleiber
90+3'

Match stats — FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim

45%Possession55%
8Shots7
5On target5
8Corners3

Line-ups

FC Saarbrücken 4-2-2-2
  • 1M. BignettiG
  • 42P. FahrnerD
  • 21M. CvjetinovićD
  • 4S. VoetD
  • 28N. BretschneiderD
  • 10C. KühlwetterM
  • 6P. SontheimerM
  • 31K. MeiselM
  • 20F. PickM
  • 9K. BrünkerF
  • 8Gökdeniz GürpüzF
Substitutes
  • 3Anton BäuerleD
  • 33K. BrollG
  • 26N. AracicD
  • 5Daniel GleiberM
  • 16Lee Seung-JoonM
  • 11M. MulthaupM
  • 7C. RizzutoD
  • 29A. StaffF
  • 22K. CaliskanerM
Coach: Argirios Giannikis
Waldhof Mannheim 4-4-2
  • 1T. NijhuisG
  • 24L. KlünterD
  • 15C. KammerknechtD
  • 14Oluwaseun God Power Osaro OgbemudiaD
  • 25Jid OkekeD
  • 7L. BierschenkM
  • 28D. MichelM
  • 21J. RieckmannM
  • 37N. Sarenren BazeeM
  • 13T. BoydF
  • 9Gonçalo GregórioF
Substitutes
  • 35Djayson CardosoM
  • 42David ZimmerG
  • 11Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa PessoaF
  • 22D. KryeziuM
  • 29N. X. Muteba NTumbaF
  • 16J. NiemannG
  • 3Moritz PolteD
  • 8M. ThalhammerM
  • 10J. UlbrichtF
Coach: Rui Mota

Form going into FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim

FC Saarbrücken

3. Liga

  • L2-3away to Havelse25 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Fortuna Düsseldorf17 October 2026
  • L2-4MSV Duisburg13 October 2026

Waldhof Mannheim

3. Liga

  • W4-1Hoffenheim II25 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Würzburger Kickers17 October 2026
  • L0-3FC Ingolstadt 0414 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6FC Saarbrücken136253126+520
8Waldhof Mannheim136162320+319

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim

  • 2 May 2026FC Saarbrücken 2–0 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
  • 7 December 2025Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
  • 8 February 2025FC Saarbrücken 2–1 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
  • 31 August 2024Waldhof Mannheim 0–1 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
  • 18 February 2024Waldhof Mannheim 0–2 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
  • 23 September 2023FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga

Leading scorers: FC Saarbrücken and Waldhof Mannheim

FC Saarbrücken

GoalsAssists

  • K. Brünker51
  • F. Pick34

Waldhof Mannheim

GoalsAssists

  • J. Ulbricht42
  • T. Boyd41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Saarbrücken beat Waldhof Mannheim 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC Saarbrücken at 49%. The goals: Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee 19' for Waldhof Mannheim, Kai Brünker 25' for FC Saarbrücken, Florian Pick 60' for FC Saarbrücken.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Saarbrücken a 13.9% chance to finish in the top three: 15.8% after a win, 12.3% after a draw, 9.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.8%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.

For Waldhof Mannheim the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 16.7% going in: 10.7% after a win, 15.4% after a draw, 19.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 19.1%, 2.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 53% / 24% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 49% / 25% / 26%: the biggest move is FC Saarbrücken's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. FC Saarbrücken win49%▼ −4
  2. Draw25%▲ +1
  3. Waldhof Mannheim win26%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.