31 October 2026, 19:45 UTC

Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Referee: Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Anderlecht 4-1 KVC Westerlo.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Anderlecht, 25% draw, 30% KVC Westerlo — fair odds of 2.22, 4.00 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Anderlecht at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Anderlecht99%Draw1%KVC Westerlo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Cvetkovic
40'
⚽M. Stroeykensassist: M. Cvetkovic
43'
⚽T. Aasgaard
45'
Mario Stroeykens
53'
⚽L. Ambros
60'
63'
🔁F. Ferraroout: L. Mbamba-Muanda
63'
🔁I. Sakamotoout: P. Diong
🔁M. Stroeykensout: M. Kana
64'
65'
Lasse Flø
🔁G. Bianconeout: A. Omobamidele
72'
🔁M. Cvetkovicout: T. Bentayeb
72'
73'
🔁C. Congreveout: N. Storm
73'
🔁S. Saitoout: Yang Min-Hyuk
81'
⚽N. Stormassist: C. Sandra
🔁J. Onia Sekeout: A. Bertaccini
85'
🔁L. Ambrosout: D. Sikan
85'
85'
🔁N. Bassetteout: E. Tsimba
Andrew Omobamidele
90'

Match stats — Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo

55%Possession45%
22Shots12
8On target4
4Corners5
2.63xG0.77

Goals against chances

Anderlecht4 from 2.63 xGmore than the chances were worth
KVC Westerlo1 from 0.77 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Anderlecht 4-3-3
  • 26C. CoosemansG
  • 79A. MaamarD
  • 4G. BianconeD
  • 27L. PetrotD
  • 6L. AugustinssonD
  • 30I. KoutsoupiasM
  • 29M. StroeykensM
  • 19T. AasgaardM
  • 18L. AmbrosF
  • 9M. CvetkovicF
  • 49J. Onia SekeF
Substitutes
  • 32J. HeekerenG
  • 5O. ReabciukD
  • 12A. OmobamideleD
  • 50K. BarryD
  • 24E. LlansanaM
  • 8R. AmaneM
  • 55M. KanaM
  • 21T. BentayebF
  • 91A. BertacciniF
Coach: Vitor Bruno
KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1
  • 99A. JungdalG
  • 2L. FloD
  • 5S. KimuraD
  • 4A. LapageD
  • 88F. FerraroD
  • 45I. FofanaM
  • 14C. SandraM
  • 20C. CongreveM
  • 13I. SakamotoM
  • 7S. SaitoM
  • 9N. BassetteF
Substitutes
  • 1B. LathouwersG
  • 23L. Mbamba-MuandaD
  • 40B. BaloghD
  • 6R. MunzD
  • 39T. Van den KeybusM
  • 26P. DiongM
  • 10N. StormF
  • 22E. TsimbaF
  • 47Yang Min-HyukF
Coach: Issame Charai

Form going into Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo

Anderlecht

Jupiler Pro League

  • L0-4away to Gent25 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Cercle Brugge10 October 2026
  • W3-0Zulte Waregem19 September 2026

KVC Westerlo

Jupiler Pro League

  • D4-4SK Beveren24 October 2026
  • W5-1Antwerp11 October 2026
  • W2-0away to St. Truiden20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Anderlecht116231412+220
9KVC Westerlo114252630-414

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo

  • 7 December 2025KVC Westerlo 4–0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
  • 27 July 2025Anderlecht 5–2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • 9 March 2025KVC Westerlo 2–0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
  • 5 December 2024Anderlecht 4–1 KVC WesterloCup
  • 14 September 2024Anderlecht 2–2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • 1 December 2023KVC Westerlo 1–3 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo

Anderlecht

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

KVC Westerlo

GoalsAssists

  • N. Bassette80
  • S. Saito51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Anderlecht beat KVC Westerlo 4–1. The model had made a win for Anderlecht its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Cvetkovic 40' for Anderlecht, M. Stroeykens 43' for Anderlecht, T. Aasgaard 45' for Anderlecht, L. Ambros 60' for Anderlecht, N. Storm 81' for KVC Westerlo. On expected goals it finished 2.63–0.77.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Anderlecht a 13.4% chance to finish in the top four: 16.0% after a win, 10.9% after a draw, 9.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.0%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.

For KVC Westerlo the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 8.5% going in: 12.4% after a win, 7.2% after a draw, 6.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 6.5%, 2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.