31 October 2026, 17:15 UTC

Standard Liege vs Kortrijk Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Referee: Bram Van Driessche, Belgium
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Standard Liege 1-1 Kortrijk.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% Standard Liege, 24% draw, 14% Kortrijk — fair odds of 1.61, 4.17 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Standard Liege at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Standard Liege5%Draw93%Kortrijk2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

I. Hautekiet
5'
15'
A. Drouhin
A. Trouillet
30'
45+1'
⚽G. Koyalipou (pen)
A. Abid
45+2'
🔁A. Zeqiriout: B. Nsimba
46'
49'
T. Ambrose
⚽S. Drammehassist: I. Hautekiet
63'
67'
🔁B. Lambertout: R. Storman
71'
J. van Landschoot
76'
🔁M. Fofanaout: R. Kohon
76'
🔁T. Ambroseout: S. Ogbuehi
🔁D. Eckertout: B. Nguene
81'
88'
🔁A. Phillipsout: G. Ruyssen
89'
🔁J. van Landschootout: L. De Smet

Match stats — Standard Liege vs Kortrijk

60%Possession40%
18Shots14
6On target6
10Corners4
1.41xG1.58

Goals against chances

Standard Liege1 from 1.41 xGabout what the chances were worth
Kortrijk1 from 1.58 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Standard Liege 4-4-2
  • 21Lucas PirardG
  • 13Marlon FosseyD
  • 20Ibrahim KaramokoD
  • 25Ibe HautekietD
  • 3Gustav MortensenD
  • 15Salieu DrammehM
  • 22Alexis TrouilletM
  • 84Rayan TouzgharM
  • 11Adnane AbidM
  • 9Andi ZeqiriF
  • 10Dennis Eckert AyensaF
Substitutes
  • 77Bruny NsimbaF
  • 17Bernard NgueneF
  • 46Quentin DurkaG
  • 18Henry LawrenceD
  • 29Daan DierckxD
  • 80Ryan FossoM
  • 7Tobias MohrM
  • 19Sylvester JasperM
  • 23Marco IlaimaharitraM
Kortrijk 5-4-1
  • 31Marko IlićG
  • 15Mohamed FofanaD
  • 21Axel DrouhinD
  • 4Harrison Murray-CampbellD
  • 5James NdjeungoueD
  • 3Matthew AndersonD
  • 18Jellert Van LandschootM
  • 35Boris LambertM
  • 70Anthony PhilipsM
  • 68Thierry AmbroseM
  • 10Goduine KoyalipouF
Substitutes
  • 17Rok ŠtormanM
  • 36Rudy KohonD
  • 90Sixtus OgbuehiF
  • 22Gilles RuyssenD
  • 14Lenn De SmetF
  • 1Patrik Sigurdur GunnarssonG
  • 7Suf PodgoreanuF
  • 71Ken MasuiM
  • 6Liam De SmetM

Form going into Standard Liege vs Kortrijk

Standard Liege

Jupiler Pro League

  • L1-2away to Genk25 October 2026
  • L0-1Charleroi11 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Gent18 September 2026

Kortrijk

Jupiler Pro League

  • L0-3away to Genk10 October 2026
  • W1-0SK Beveren20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Standard Liege114341816+215
18Kortrijk11119423-194

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Standard Liege vs Kortrijk

  • 10 January 2025Standard Liege 1–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 18 August 2024Kortrijk 1–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • 20 January 2024Standard Liege 0–1 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 26 August 2023Kortrijk 1–1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • 12 February 2023Standard Liege 0–2 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 28 August 2022Kortrijk 0–1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Standard Liege and Kortrijk

Standard Liege

GoalsAssists

  • D. Eckert Ayensa71

Kortrijk

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Standard Liege and Kortrijk drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Standard Liege at 62% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: G. Koyalipou (penalty) 45+1' for Kortrijk, S. Drammeh 63' for Standard Liege. On expected goals it finished 1.41–1.58.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kortrijk a 92.2% chance to finish in the bottom two: 88.0% after a win, 91.3% after a draw, 93.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 91.3%, 0.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Standard Liege v Kortrijk has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 64% / 23% / 13% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 62% / 24% / 14%: the biggest move is Standard Liege's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Standard Liege win62%▼ −2
  2. Draw24%▲ +1
  3. Kortrijk win14%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.