30 October 2026, 19:45 UTC

Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Elindus Arena, Waregem
Referee: Lawrence Visser, Belgium
Full time2 – 4

Final score: Zulte Waregem 2-4 Club Brugge KV.

Before kick-off the model made it 18% Zulte Waregem, 23% draw, 59% Club Brugge KV — fair odds of 5.56, 4.35 and 1.69.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Club Brugge KV at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zulte Waregem0%Draw1%Club Brugge KV99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽H. Vetlesenassist: N. Tresoldi
⚽T. Hedl
32'
34'
⚽C. Forbsassist: H. Vetlesen
36'
⚽N. Tresoldiassist: J. Seys
41'
•Hugo Vetlesen
45'
•Hans Vanaken
45'
⚽H. Vanakenassist: J. Virgili
49'
Freddie Potts
57'
Hugo Vetlesen
Franz Tangala
58'
⚽T. Hedlassist: A. Ementa
59'
🔁M. Akeout: O. Niang
64'
🔁M. Mbayeout: Z. Atrok
64'
70'
🔁H. Vetlesenout: F. Lemarechal
70'
🔁J. Virgiliout: M. Diakhon
Enrique Lofolomo
73'
78'
🔁K. Sabbeout: H. Siquet
78'
🔁N. Tresoldiout: R. Vermant
🔁A. Ementaout: H. Akpa-Chukwu
79'
85'
🔁C. Forbsout: M. Robberechts
Thomas Claes
89'
🔁Y. Cappelleout: Y. Mbodji
89'
🔁T. Hedlout: S. Ujka
89'

Match stats — Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV

24%Possession76%
8Shots17
3On target8
2Corners14
1.6xG1.4

Goals against chances

Zulte Waregem2 from 1.60 xGabout what the chances were worth
Club Brugge KV4 from 1.40 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Zulte Waregem 4-3-2-1
  • 13B. GabrielG
  • 49F. TangalaD
  • 4L. LemoineD
  • 5J. KiilerichD
  • 55Y. CappelleD
  • 8T. ClaesM
  • 6E. LofolomoM
  • 11M. AkeM
  • 10M. MbayeM
  • 20T. HedlM
  • 18A. EmentaF
Substitutes
  • 1L. BostynG
  • 45B. De JaegereD
  • 15Y. MbodjiD
  • 25T. PanduroM
  • 22O. NiangM
  • 36S. UjkaM
  • 7N. MituljikicF
  • 21Z. AtrokM
  • 90H. Akpa-ChukwuF
Coach: Michael Beale
Club Brugge KV 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. SommerG
  • 64K. SabbeD
  • 58J. SpileersD
  • 44B. MecheleD
  • 65J. SeysD
  • 8F. PottsM
  • 20H. VanakenM
  • 9C. ForbsM
  • 10H. VetlesenM
  • 11J. VirgiliM
  • 7N. TresoldiF
Substitutes
  • 81A. Vanden DriesscheG
  • 41H. SiquetD
  • 3Lee Han-BeomD
  • 32M. DamsD
  • 16C. TsawaM
  • 80F. LemarechalM
  • 17R. VermantF
  • 39M. RobberechtsF
  • 67M. DiakhonF
Coach: Ivan Leko

Form going into Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV

Zulte Waregem

Jupiler Pro League

  • L0-3away to RAAL La Louvière24 October 2026
  • L0-2Gent10 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Anderlecht19 September 2026

Club Brugge KV

Jupiler Pro League

  • W3-2St. Truiden25 October 2026
  • W4-1away to RAAL La Louvière10 October 2026
  • W3-0Genk20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Zulte Waregem113261320-711
2Club Brugge KV11911279+1828

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV

  • 24 January 2026Club Brugge KV 4–3 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • 16 August 2025Zulte Waregem 0–1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
  • 6 December 2023Club Brugge KV 4–0 Zulte WaregemCup
  • 1 July 2023Club Brugge KV 0–1 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
  • 29 January 2023Zulte Waregem 1–2 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
  • 5 August 2022Club Brugge KV 1–1 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Zulte Waregem and Club Brugge KV

Zulte Waregem

GoalsAssists

  • T. Hedl42
  • Á. Zalán40

Club Brugge KV

GoalsAssists

  • N. Tresoldi81
  • H. Vetlesen51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Club Brugge KV won 4–2 at Zulte Waregem. The model had made a win for Club Brugge KV its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: H. Vetlesen 3' for Club Brugge KV, T. Hedl 32' for Zulte Waregem, C. Forbs 34' for Club Brugge KV, N. Tresoldi 36' for Club Brugge KV, H. Vanaken 45' for Club Brugge KV, T. Hedl 59' for Zulte Waregem. On expected goals it finished 1.60–1.40.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Club Brugge KV a 59.6% chance to finish top of the regular season: 62.8% after a win, 54.9% after a draw, 51.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 62.8%, 3.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV has moved

First published on 16 Oct at 19% / 24% / 57% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 18% / 23% / 59%: the biggest move is Club Brugge KV's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Zulte Waregem win18%▼ −1
  2. Draw23%▼ −1
  3. Club Brugge KV win59%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.