Le Mans vs Lorient Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Le Mans 2-1 Lorient.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Le Mans, 28% draw, 29% Lorient — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (France) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Le Mans at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Le Mans vs Lorient
Line-ups
- 98N. KocikG
- 19D. SidibéD
- 17S. YohouD
- 5H. VoyerD
- 29L. BretelleM
- 26R. BambaM
- 11A. BourabaaM
- 10J. VercruysseM
- 76Y. LarouciM
- 13H. DialloF
- 14L. MafoutaF
- 23D. TraoréM
- 16Raúl TorrenteD
- 9A. RabillardF
- 8A. LaurayM
- 1E. HatfoutG
- 25D. GuèyeF
- 22L. CalodatD
- 7B. BrahimiF
- 15N. BoisséD
- 38Y. MvogoG
- 20D. SyllaD
- 3M. TalbiD
- 32N. AdjeiD
- 77P. KatserisM
- 8N. CadiouM
- 62A. AvomM
- 43K. KouassiM
- 33G. BernardeauM
- 17J. MakengoM
- 18I. BaldéF
- 95S. TouréD
- 55N. ObaretinD
- 11T. Le BrisM
- 30S. KuzmićD
- 42M. KoneF
- 21B. KamaraG
- 10I. JensenF
- 2A. GeorgenD
- 19S. FayeF
Form going into Le Mans vs Lorient
Le Mans
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Lens13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Nice5 September 2026
- L2-3away to Rennes30 August 2026
- D2-2Stade Brestois 2922 August 2026
Lorient
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Toulouse12 September 2026
- W1-0away to Lens5 September 2026
- L1-2Estac Troyes29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Nice22 August 2026
What these results say
- Le Mans did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Le Mans scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Le Mans conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Lorient failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Lorient scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Le Mans vs Lorient
- 4 February 2020Lorient 4–2 Le MansLigue 2
- 23 August 2019Le Mans 1–2 LorientLigue 2
- 13 August 2019Lorient 1–2 Le MansCoupe de la Ligue
- 11 January 2012Le Mans 0–1 LorientCoupe de la Ligue
Leading scorers: Le Mans and Lorient
Le Mans
GoalsAssists
- L. Mafouta41
- A. Bourabaa32
Lorient
No player in Ligue 1's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Le Mans beat Lorient 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Le Mans at 43%. The goals: Adil Bourabaa 3' for Le Mans, Habib Diallo 57' for Le Mans, Isak Jensen 78' for Lorient.