8 November 2026, 16:15 UTC

Angers vs Nice Ligue 1 prediction & result

Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
Referee: Geoffrey Kubler
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Angers 0-2 Nice.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Angers, 28% draw, 42% Nice — fair odds of 3.33, 3.57 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nice at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Angers0%Draw1%Nice99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
⚽Sofiane Diopassist: Mohamed Amoura
Carlens Arcus
30'
Ousmane Camara
32'
45'
🔁Mohamed Abdelmoneimout: Xavier Mandza
🔁Jim Allevinahout: Harouna Djibirin
68'
Branco Van den Boomen
70'
70'
Sofiane Diop
72'
🔁Sofiane Diopout: Gauthier Hein
72'
🔁Djibril Coulibalyout: Axel Witsel
78'
⚽Jonathan Claussassist: Gauthier Hein
79'
🔁Sepe Elye Wahiout: Nathan Ngoumou
🔁Branco Van den Boomenout: Anthony Bermont
83'
🔁Carlens Arcusout: Lillian Rao-Lisoa
83'
🔁Prosper Peterout: Usman Simbakoli
83'
85'
🔁Hicham Boudaouiout: Morgan Sanson
🔁Yassine Belkdimout: Louis Mouton
86'

Match stats — Angers vs Nice

51%Possession49%
12Shots16
3On target8
6Corners4
0.7xG1.82

Goals against chances

Angers0 from 0.70 xGless than the chances were worth
Nice2 from 1.82 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Angers 4-2-3-1
  • 1Anthony LopesG
  • 2C. ArcusD
  • 4O. CamaraD
  • 21J. LefortD
  • 17J. KaluluD
  • 14Y. BelkhdimM
  • 93H. BelkeblaM
  • 18J. AllevinahM
  • 8B. van den BoomenM
  • 10A. SbaïM
  • 9P. PeterF
Substitutes
  • 6L. MoutonM
  • 27L. Rao-LisoaD
  • 26A. BermontM
  • 24E. BiumlaM
  • 11Djibirin HarounaF
  • 34M. GernigonD
  • 20Marius LouërD
  • 7U. SimbakoliF
  • 40Oumar PonaG
Coach: S. Gilli
Nice 3-4-2-1
  • 23Y. DioufG
  • 36A. SeiduD
  • 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
  • 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
  • 92J. ClaussM
  • 39D. CoulibalyM
  • 6H. BoudaouiM
  • 27N. NkounkouM
  • 10S. DiopM
  • 9M. AmouraM
  • 11E. WahiF
Substitutes
  • 7G. HeinM
  • 21I. JanssonF
  • 84H. KoutouneD
  • 28A. WitselM
  • 35X. Mandza TsiendiM
  • 41D. MoranaF
  • 29N. NgoumouF
  • 77T. BoulhendiG
  • 8M. SansonM
Coach: O. Pantaloni

Form going into Angers vs Nice

Angers

Ligue 1

  • L0-2away to Lyon1 November 2026
  • D0-0Lorient25 October 2026
  • L2-5Marseille18 October 2026
  • L1-5away to Stade Brestois 2910 October 2026

Nice

Ligue 1

  • W5-2Rennes30 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Stade Brestois 2923 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Lyon18 October 2026
  • W2-1Strasbourg11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Angers did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Angers conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Nice scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Nice conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Nice had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Angers10226919-108
6Nice105231512+317

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Angers vs Nice

  • 14 March 2026Angers 0–2 NiceLigue 1
  • 7 December 2025Nice 0–1 AngersLigue 1
  • 20 April 2025Nice 2–1 AngersLigue 1
  • 1 September 2024Angers 1–4 NiceLigue 1
  • 2 April 2023Angers 1–1 NiceLigue 1
  • 18 September 2022Nice 0–1 AngersLigue 1

The full Angers vs Nice record →

Leading scorers: Angers and Nice

Angers

No player in Ligue 1's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Nice

GoalsAssists

  • E. Wahi62

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Nice won 2–0 at Angers. The model had made a win for Nice its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Sofiane Diop 2' for Nice, Jonathan Clauss 78' for Nice. On expected goals it finished 0.70–1.82.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Angers a 41.8% chance to finish in the bottom two: 33.5% after a win, 41.8% after a draw, 47.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.4%, 5.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Angers v Nice has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 34% / 29% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 30% / 28% / 42%: the biggest move is Nice's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Angers win30%▼ −4
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Nice win42%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.