Argentinos Juniors vs Huracan Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Argentinos Juniors 0-2 Huracan.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Argentinos Juniors, 32% draw, 19% Huracan — fair odds of 2.04, 3.13 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Argentinos Juniors at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Argentinos Juniors vs Huracan
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25B. CortésG
- 17F. ParedesD
- 23M. MendozaD
- 4É. GodoyD
- 20S. PrietoD
- 5Facundo CarrizoM
- 15K. GutiérrezM
- 11N. OrozM
- 7D. PorcelF
- 9G. VerónF
- 19M. GiménezF
- 27T. MolinaF
- 30A. NúñezD
- 12G. SiriG
- 26C. BravoD
- 35A. AlcarazM
- 22K. CoronelD
- 10G. FlorentínM
- 28J. GhoM
- 13Santino GianiniD
- 1H. GalíndezG
- 4F. VeraD
- 21M. NervoD
- 35Máximo PalazzoD
- 25C. IbáñezD
- 2L. BlondelM
- 15F. WallerM
- 7Ó. CortésM
- 33B. BarticciottoM
- 24F. KalingerM
- 9J. CaicedoF
- 32S. MezaG
- 46F. MartinezD
- 19L. LescanoD
- 8L. GilM
- 5R. FernándezM
- 34Ignacio CampoD
- 17F. BisanzF
- 20E. OjedaM
- 11T. PeraltaM
Form going into Argentinos Juniors vs Huracan
Argentinos Juniors
Liga Profesional Argentina
- W2-1away to Atletico Tucuman3 November 2026
- W1-0Independiente Rivadavia27 October 2026
- W1-0away to Banfield17 October 2026
- D1-1away to Platense11 October 2026
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L0-2Tigre30 October 2026
- L0-2away to Rosario Central25 October 2026
- L1-2Gimnasia La Plata15 October 2026
- L0-2away to Barracas Central10 October 2026
What these results say
- Argentinos Juniors went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Argentinos Juniors scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Argentinos Juniors won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Huracan did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Huracan conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Huracan failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Argentinos Juniors vs Huracan
- 13 May 2026Argentinos Juniors 1–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 April 2026Huracan 1–2 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 16 August 2025Huracan 1–0 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 12 February 2025Argentinos Juniors 1–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 August 2024Argentinos Juniors 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 August 2024Argentinos Juniors 1–1 HuracanCopa Argentina
Leading scorers: Argentinos Juniors and Huracan
Argentinos Juniors
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Huracan
GoalsAssists
- J. Caicedo140
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Huracan won 2–0 at Argentinos Juniors. The model had leaned towards a win for Argentinos Juniors at 49% and given a win for Huracan 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Oscar Cortes 8' for Huracan, Bruno Barticciotto 31' for Huracan. Sent off: Franco Paredes (Argentinos Juniors) 25', Nicolás Ignacio Diez Parajón (Argentinos Juniors) 29'. On expected goals it finished 0.80–1.78.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Argentinos Juniors these chances to finish top of the Clausura Group A: 26.1% after a win, 8.5% after a draw, 0.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure about where it was, at 0.0%.
For Huracan the question was the chance to finish in the top eight, 16.1% going in: 100.0% after a win, 0.0% after a draw, 0.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 100.0%, 83.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Argentinos Juniors v Huracan has moved
First published on 25 Oct at 47% / 32% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 49% / 32% / 19%: the biggest move is Argentinos Juniors's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Argentinos Juniors win49%▲ +2
- Draw32%=
- Huracan win19%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.