30 October 2026, 17:30 UTC

Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Bielefeld
Referee: Jarno Wienefeld
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Eintracht Braunschweig.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Arminia Bielefeld, 25% draw, 28% Eintracht Braunschweig — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Arminia Bielefeld at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Arminia Bielefeld99%Draw1%Eintracht Braunschweig0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Arne Sicker
17'
⚽Maximilian Grosserassist: Arne Sicker
23'
⚽Joel Grodowskiassist: Jannik Rochelt
27'
45'
🔁Jan Urbichout: Jovan Mijatovic
45'
🔁Arlet Junior Zéout: Robin Heusser
45'
🔁Andi Hotiout: Lukas Frenkert
55'
⚽Aaron Opokuassist: Max Marie
Leon Jensen
56'
🔁Leon Jensenout: Leon Schneider
67'
🔁Arne Sickerout: Tim Handwerker
67'
⚽Joel Grodowski
68'
🔁Henri Koudossouout: Felix Hagmann
72'
🔁Monju Thaddäus Momuluhout: B.Boakye
72'
77'
🔁Aaron Opokuout: Sidi Sane
80'
🔁Florian Flickout: Tristan Wagner
🔁Joel Grodowskiout: Marvin Mehlem
86'

Match stats — Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig

48%Possession52%
15Shots9
6On target2
3Corners4
1.27xG0.37

Goals against chances

Arminia Bielefeld3 from 1.27 xGmore than the chances were worth
Eintracht Braunschweig1 from 0.37 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Arminia Bielefeld 3-4-3
  • 1J. KerskenG
  • 7H. KoudossouD
  • 5M. BauerD
  • 19M. GroßerD
  • 10J. RocheltM
  • 31L. JensenM
  • 21S. RussoM
  • 17A. SickerM
  • 14M. MomuluhF
  • 11J. GrodowskiF
  • 38M. WörlF
Substitutes
  • 2F. HagmannD
  • 27Benjamin Bediako BoakyeF
  • 29T. HandwerkerD
  • 6M. MehlemM
  • 18L. OppermannG
  • 23L. SchneiderD
  • 8S. SchreckM
  • 42T. WegenerM
  • 30I. YoungF
Coach: Oliver Kirch
Eintracht Braunschweig 4-4-2
  • 1R. HoffmannG
  • 8M. AydınD
  • 21K. EhlersD
  • 4A. HotiD
  • 22F. Di Michele SanchezD
  • 19Junior Arlet ZéM
  • 6F. FlickM
  • 15Max MarieM
  • 17A. OpokuM
  • 7Yann SturmF
  • 27Jan UrbichF
Substitutes
  • 29L. FrenkertD
  • 26T. WagnerM
  • 30R. HeußerM
  • 3N. KatterbachD
  • 43D. KovacevicD
  • 11J. MijatovićF
  • 37S. RaebigerM
  • 24S. SanéF
  • 32B. UphoffG
Coach: Lars Kornetka

Form going into Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig

Arminia Bielefeld

2. Bundesliga

  • L0-1away to Hertha BSC24 October 2026
  • W2-1VfL Osnabrück18 October 2026
  • W1-0away to VfL Bochum11 October 2026

Eintracht Braunschweig

2. Bundesliga

  • W2-0Hannover 9625 October 2026
  • L0-2away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth17 October 2026
  • W1-0Holstein Kiel9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Arminia Bielefeld115241816+217
13Eintracht Braunschweig113261618-211

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig

  • 25 March 2026Arminia Bielefeld 4–1 Eintracht BraunschweigFriendlies Clubs
  • 8 February 2026Arminia Bielefeld 3–2 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
  • 30 August 2025Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • 5 March 2023Eintracht Braunschweig 3–3 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • 26 August 2022Arminia Bielefeld 4–1 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
  • 20 April 2018Eintracht Braunschweig 0–0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: Arminia Bielefeld and Eintracht Braunschweig

Arminia Bielefeld

GoalsAssists

  • J. Grodowski72

Eintracht Braunschweig

GoalsAssists

  • Jan Urbich41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Arminia Bielefeld beat Eintracht Braunschweig 3–1. The model had made a win for Arminia Bielefeld its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Maximilian Grosser 23' for Arminia Bielefeld, Joel Grodowski 27' for Arminia Bielefeld, Aaron Opoku 55' for Eintracht Braunschweig, Joel Grodowski 68' for Arminia Bielefeld. On expected goals it finished 1.27–0.37.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Arminia Bielefeld a 5.9% chance to finish in the bottom two: 4.1% after a win, 5.6% after a draw, 8.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.1%, 1.8 points lower than before the match.

For Eintracht Braunschweig the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 13.2% going in: 8.6% after a win, 13.3% after a draw, 15.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.4%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 2. Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.