30 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen 3. Liga prediction & result

Merkur Spiel-Arena
Referee: Yannick Sager
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-0 SV Meppen.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Fortuna Düsseldorf, 32% draw, 28% SV Meppen — fair odds of 2.50, 3.13 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Fortuna Düsseldorf at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Fortuna Düsseldorf3%Draw94%SV Meppen3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

63'
🔁Kasra Ghawiluout: Niclas Tibor Nadj
63'
🔁Jonas Fedlout: Nikell Touglo
🔁Jomaine Consbruchout: Eric Hottmann
72'
74'
🔁Jannic Ehlersout: Richard Christian Meier
78'
Dominique Domrose
🔁Erik Wekesserout: Sascha Risch
81'
🔁Jorrit Hendrixout: Hamza Anhari
81'
84'
🔁Oliver Issa Schmittout: Luca Prasse
85+5'
Andreas Müller
87'
88'
Nikell Touglo
Andreas Müller
90+1'
🔁Filimon Gerezgiherout: Yassine Bouchama
90+3'
Hamza Anhari
90+4'

Match stats — Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen

68%Possession32%
26Shots7
10On target4
9Corners1

Line-ups

Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-3-3
  • 22L. LordG
  • 25M. ZimmermannD
  • 15T. OberdorfD
  • 44E .EgouliD
  • 7E. WekesserD
  • 6A. MüllerM
  • 38E. ArdenM
  • 8J. HendrixM
  • 23F. GerezgiherF
  • 24F. SchleusenerF
  • 14J. ConsbruchF
Substitutes
  • 40H. AnhariM
  • 39K. AmaniampongD
  • 4L. BornscheinD
  • 5Y. BouchamaM
  • 10P. FörsterM
  • 9E. HottmannF
  • 1L. RießG
  • 28S. RischD
  • 29K. SauckM
Coach: J. Langeneke
SV Meppen 4-2-3-1
  • 44J. PüntG
  • 2Dominique DomroseD
  • 19L. SprekelmeyerD
  • 33Stefan RankicD
  • 39F. BährD
  • 6E. ZehirM
  • 5J. FedlM
  • 10K. GhawiluM
  • 14T. DetersM
  • 17J. EhlersM
  • 7O. SchmittF
Substitutes
  • 20N. TougloD
  • 31L. PrasseF
  • 40N. NadjM
  • 13R. MeierF
  • 28Jonas GoldensteinM
  • 11S. EngelmannF
  • 1N. OberbeckG
  • 4Jona BorsumM
  • 23N. WesselsM
Coach: L. Beniermann

Form going into Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3. Liga

  • D1-1away to Hansa Rostock24 October 2026
  • L1-3FC Saarbrücken17 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Preußen Münster14 October 2026

SV Meppen

3. Liga

  • W4-0Würzburger Kickers24 October 2026
  • D1-1Havelse18 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Hansa Rostock13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Fortuna Düsseldorf134451417-316
11SV Meppen135351818018

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen

  • 6 January 2023Fortuna Dusseldorf 4–3 SV MeppenFriendlies Clubs

The result against the call

Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Meppen drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Fortuna Düsseldorf at 40% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. Sent off: Andreas Müller (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 90+1'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Fortuna Düsseldorf a 9.6% chance to finish in the bottom four: 6.8% after a win, 9.9% after a draw, 13.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 9.9%.

For SV Meppen the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 17.2% going in: 11.1% after a win, 16.9% after a draw, 20.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 16.9%.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Fortuna Düsseldorf v SV Meppen has moved

First published on 16 Oct at 54% / 26% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 40% / 32% / 28%: the biggest move is Fortuna Düsseldorf's chance of winning, down 14 points.

  1. Fortuna Düsseldorf win40%▼ −14
  2. Draw32%▲ +6
  3. SV Meppen win28%▲ +8

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.