4 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 Czech Liga prediction & result

Town Stadium Karvina, Brno
Referee: Lukas Nehasil
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Artis 1-2 Bohemians 1905.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Artis, 29% draw, 42% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 3.45, 3.45 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bohemians 1905 at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Artis0%Draw2%Bohemians 190598%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye
6'
⚽El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye
6'
•El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye
16'
El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye
20'
31'
Milan Havel
38'
🔁Dominik Javorcekout: Václav Pilař
43'
Roman Kvet
44'
⚽Jan Matoušekassist: Milan Havel
🔁Alexis Aléguéout: Stepan Harazim
45'
63'
⚽David Lischkaassist: Aleš Čermák
Neil Glossoa
66'
69'
🔁Jan Matoušekout: Šimon Černý
70'
🔁Ladislav Almásiout: Ladislav Krobot
70'
🔁Roman Kvetout: Vladimir Zeman
71'
David Lischka
🔁Papaléléout: Adam Carlen
72'
🔁Dominik Sarapataout: adebayo quadri adediran
72'
80'
Vladimir Zeman
🔁Sacha Komljenovicout: Vladimir Perisic
83'
85'
🔁Milan Havelout: Benson Sakala

Match stats — Artis vs Bohemians 1905

40%Possession60%
9Shots21
3On target7
3Corners8
0.76xG1.32

Goals against chances

Artis1 from 0.76 xGabout what the chances were worth
Bohemians 19052 from 1.32 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Artis 4-2-3-1
  • 29R. KasikG
  • 33N. GlossoaD
  • 4D. PlechatýD
  • 34K. PojeznýD
  • 8S. KomljenovicD
  • 36S. BoháčM
  • 20D. SarapataM
  • 7A. AléguéM
  • 9A. LabíkM
  • 17PapaléléM
  • 12E. NdiayeF
Substitutes
  • 32T. StoppenG
  • 90Youssoupha SanyangM
  • 26M. PospíšilM
  • 14A. PetrákM
  • 87V. PerišićF
  • 5M. JeřábekD
  • 2Š. HarazimD
  • 11I. FombaM
  • 21A. CarlénM
Coach: R. Nadvornik
Bohemians 1905 3-4-1-2
  • 23T. FrühwaldG
  • 24M. HavelD
  • 27D. LischkaD
  • 3Matej KadlecD
  • 15M. BandaM
  • 47A. ČermákM
  • 62Samuel ObinayaM
  • 37D. JavorčekM
  • 16R. KvětM
  • 10J. MatoušekF
  • 99L. AlmásiF
Substitutes
  • 13V. ZemanF
  • 18D. ValaD
  • 71J. ŠimanG
  • 6B. SakalaM
  • 12M. ReichlG
  • 11V. PilařM
  • 9L. KrobotF
  • 19J. KovaříkM
  • 25P. KareemD
Coach: J. Veselý

Form going into Artis vs Bohemians 1905

Artis

Czech Liga

  • D2-2Zlin31 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Teplice24 October 2026
  • W4-2away to Hradec Králové10 October 2026

Bohemians 1905

Czech Liga

  • D0-0Sparta Praha1 November 2026
  • D2-2away to Zbrojovka Brno24 October 2026
  • W1-0Mlada Boleslav14 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Artis142481528-1310
9Bohemians 1905145541515020

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Artis and Bohemians 1905

Artis

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

Bohemians 1905

GoalsAssists

  • A. Čermák52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bohemians 1905 won 2–1 at Artis. The model had made a win for Bohemians 1905 its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye 6' for Artis, Jan Matoušek 44' for Bohemians 1905, David Lischka 63' for Bohemians 1905. Sent off: El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye (Artis) 20'. On expected goals it finished 0.76–1.32.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Artis a 64.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 54.7% after a win, 65.4% after a draw, 70.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 70.7%, 6.2 points higher than before the match.

For Bohemians 1905 the question was the chance to finish in the top ten, 73.1% going in: 79.9% after a win, 70.9% after a draw, 65.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 79.9%, 6.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Artis v Bohemians 1905 has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 27% / 30% / 43% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 29% / 29% / 42%: the biggest move is Artis's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Artis win29%▲ +2
  2. Draw29%▼ −1
  3. Bohemians 1905 win42%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.