1 November 2026, 12:00 UTC

Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové Czech Liga prediction & result

Lokotrans Arena, Mlada Boleslav
Referee: Marek Radina
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Mlada Boleslav 3-1 Hradec Králové.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Mlada Boleslav, 29% draw, 28% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Mlada Boleslav at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mlada Boleslav99%Draw1%Hradec Králové0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Solomon John
27'
31'
Filip Cihak
•Filip Matousek
39'
57'
⚽Filip Cihakassist: Daniel Horak
🔁Martin Šubertout: Josef Kolarik
62'
🔁Daniel Langhamerout: Filip Spatenka
62'
64'
František Čech
67'
Samuel Dancak
72'
🔁Abdullahi Umarout: Daniel Trubač
72'
🔁Samuel Dancakout: Tom Sloncik
🔁Jiří Klímaout: Jan Buryan
74'
⚽Jan Buryanassist: Matej Hybs
80'
🔁Solomon Johnout: Denis Donat
81'
🔁Filip Matousekout: Marek Havran
81'
⚽Josef Kolarikassist: Jan Buryan
82'
⚽Jan Buryanassist: Marek Havran
87'
89'
🔁Jakub Uhrincatout: Juraj Chvátal
89'
🔁Filip Cihakout: Ondřej Mihálik
89'
🔁Mick Van Burenout: Matej Valenta

Match stats — Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové

60%Possession40%
18Shots16
8On target6
8Corners7
2.45xG1.09

Goals against chances

Mlada Boleslav3 from 2.45 xGmore than the chances were worth
Hradec Králové1 from 1.09 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
  • 42V. VorelG
  • 32F. MatoušekD
  • 44O. KarafiátD
  • 3M. KrálikD
  • 11M. HybšD
  • 19D. KozelM
  • 76Jan ZikaM
  • 20S. JohnM
  • 28D. LanghamerM
  • 21M. ŠubertM
  • 23J. KlímaF
Substitutes
  • 70J. BuryánF
  • 13D. DonátD
  • 59J. FloderG
  • 14S. GrygarM
  • 5J. HarušťákD
  • 18M. HavranM
  • 49J. KoláříkM
  • 10Filip LehkýM
  • 77D. PechM
Coach: A. Majer
Hradec Králové 3-4-2-1
  • 12A. ZadražilG
  • 5F. ČihákD
  • 4T. PetrášekD
  • 25F. ČechD
  • 7J. UhrinčaťM
  • 28J. KučeraM
  • 11S. DancákM
  • 26D. HorákM
  • 24A. UmarM
  • 10M. van BurenM
  • 70T. ČvančaraF
Substitutes
  • 9M. ValentaM
  • 1P. VízekG
  • 20M. VágnerG
  • 27D. TrubačM
  • 19T. SlončíkM
  • 17O. MihálikF
  • 3F. MielkeD
  • 2D. LudvíčekD
  • 30J. ChvátalM
Coach: D. Horejs

Form going into Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové

Mlada Boleslav

Czech Liga

  • D1-1away to Slavia Praha24 October 2026
  • W1-0Teplice17 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Bohemians 190514 October 2026

Hradec Králové

Czech Liga

  • L1-2FK Jablonec25 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Slavia Praha17 October 2026
  • L2-4Artis10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Mlada Boleslav147432215+725
11Hradec Králové145361718-118

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové

  • 13 December 2025Hradec Králové 1–1 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
  • 16 August 2025Mlada Boleslav 3–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
  • 1 December 2024Mlada Boleslav 3–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
  • 4 August 2024Hradec Králové 2–1 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
  • 31 May 2024Mlada Boleslav 3–1 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
  • 24 February 2024Hradec Králové 0–0 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Mlada Boleslav and Hradec Králové

Mlada Boleslav

GoalsAssists

  • M. Šubert71
  • J. Klíma41

Hradec Králové

GoalsAssists

  • T. Čvančara41
  • T. Slončík40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Mlada Boleslav beat Hradec Králové 3–1. The model had made a win for Mlada Boleslav its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Filip Cihak 57' for Hradec Králové, Jan Buryan 80' for Mlada Boleslav, Josef Kolarik 82' for Mlada Boleslav, Jan Buryan 87' for Mlada Boleslav. On expected goals it finished 2.45–1.09.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Mlada Boleslav a 95.5% chance to finish in the top ten: 97.6% after a win, 95.4% after a draw, 93.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 97.6%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.

For Hradec Králové the question was the chance to finish in the top ten, 57.3% going in: 67.9% after a win, 56.4% after a draw, 52.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 52.1%, 5.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Mlada Boleslav v Hradec Králové has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 43% / 29% / 28%: the biggest move is Mlada Boleslav's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Mlada Boleslav win43%▲ +2
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Hradec Králové win28%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.