Artis vs Sparta Praha Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Artis 0-4 Sparta Praha.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Artis, 22% draw, 52% Sparta Praha — fair odds of 3.85, 4.55 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sparta Praha at 52% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Artis vs Sparta Praha
Line-ups
- 32Tadeas StoppenG
- 33Neil GlossoaD
- 4Dominik PlechatýD
- 28David ŠimekD
- 27Dominik PreislerD
- 21Adam CarlénM
- 9Albert LabíkM
- 7Alexis AlegueM
- 8Sacha KomljenovicM
- 17PapaléléM
- 12El Hadji Latyr NdiayeF
- 29Richard KašíkG
- 15Emmanuel FullyD
- 5Michal JeřábekD
- 2Stepan HarazimD
- 14Adam PetrákM
- 18Ismael SyllaM
- 26Martin PospisilM
- 11Issa FombaM
- 10Daniel SamekM
- 44Jakub SurovčíkG
- 2Martin SuchomelD
- 6Tobias Kvalvagnes GuddalD
- 30Jaroslav ZelenýD
- 11Matěj RynešD
- 28Roman MacekM
- 18Andy IrvingM
- 17John MercadoM
- 10Adam KarabecM
- 7Josimar AlcócerM
- 14Jonatan Braut BrunesF
- 47Krisztián HegyiG
- 15Viktor VitályosD
- 42Jonas TopicD
- 26Patrik VydraM
- 21Joao GrimaldoF
- 31Matěj JurásekM
- 5Santiago EnemeM
- 38Hugo SochurekM
- 24Dominik HollýM
Form going into Artis vs Sparta Praha
Artis
- L0-1away to Baník Ostrava16 August 2026
Sparta Praha
- W4-1Teplice15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Artis | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 |
| 9 | Sparta Praha | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Artis vs Sparta Praha
- 22 August 2026Artis 0–4 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
- 3 December 2025Artis 1–2 Sparta PrahaCup
- 27 September 2023Artis 0–1 Sparta PrahaCup
- 22 September 2021Artis 0–3 Sparta PrahaCup
- 1 July 2021Sparta Praha 1–0 ArtisFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Artis and Sparta Praha
Artis
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Sparta Praha
- J. Alcócer4 goals1 assists
- J. Mercado3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.