Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Mlada Boleslav 2-1 Slovácko.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Mlada Boleslav, 25% draw, 28% Slovácko — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Mlada Boleslav at 47% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko
Line-ups
- 59Jiří FloderG
- 13Denis DonátD
- 44Ondrej KarafiatD
- 3Martin KrálikD
- 11Matěj HybšD
- 19David KozelM
- 76Jan ZíkaM
- 20Solomon JohnM
- 28Daniel LanghamerM
- 21Martin ŠubertM
- 23Jiří KlímaF
- 42Vojtěch VorelG
- 47Marek ObdržálekG
- 26Matěj ZachovalD
- 24Dominik MarešD
- 5Harustak JanD
- 77David PechM
- 15Nicolas PennerM
- 14Samuel GrygarM
- 70Jan BuryanF
- 29Milan HečaG
- 21Simon SloncikD
- 22Jocelin BehiratcheD
- 4Andrej StojchevskiD
- 2Gigli NdefeM
- 26Tihomir KostadinovM
- 10Michal TrávníkM
- 6Martin ŠviderskýM
- 20Marek HavlíkF
- 77Pavel JuroškaF
- 11Filip HorskýF
- 34Pavel HalouskaG
- 14Adam AlabiD
- 24Martin KoscelníkD
- 25Paul NdubuisiD
- 17Filip HruskaM
- 16Gibril SossehM
- 27Artur DolznikovM
- 15Patrik BlahútM
- 72Lukáš VorlickýM
Form going into Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko
Mlada Boleslav
- D1-1away to Pardubice15 August 2026
- W2-0Sparta Praha8 August 2026
Slovácko
- L1-2Sigma Olomouc15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mlada Boleslav | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko
- 22 August 2026Mlada Boleslav 2–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 16 May 2026Slovácko 0–3 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 7 March 2026Slovácko 2–2 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 4 October 2025Mlada Boleslav 0–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 25 May 2025Mlada Boleslav 2–2 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 23 November 2024Slovácko 1–1 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Mlada Boleslav and Slovácko
Mlada Boleslav
- M. Šubert5 goals1 assists
- S. John3 goals3 assists
Slovácko
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.