Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905 Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Praha 2-2 Bohemians 1905.
Before kick-off the model made it 78% Slavia Praha, 13% draw, 9% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 1.28, 7.69 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Praha at 78% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 35Jakub MarkovičG
- 3Tomáš HolešD
- 4David ZimaD
- 2Štěpán ChaloupekD
- 43Elias PitakM
- 22Toumani DiakiteM
- 23Michal SadílekM
- 15Mubarak SuleimanM
- 17Lukáš ProvodF
- 10Danijel ŠturmF
- 13Mojmír ChytilF
- 6Ange N'GuessanD
- 30Wiktor NowakM
- 32Pavel KačorM
- 25Tomáš ChorýF
- 27Tomáš VlčekD
- 26Ivan SchranzF
- 29Nazar DomchakG
- 42Mikuláš KonečnýD
- 14Samuel IsifeD
- 23Tomáš FrühwaldG
- 25Peter KareemD
- 27David LischkaD
- 3Matej KadlecD
- 24Milan HavelM
- 42Vojtěch SmržM
- 16Roman KvetM
- 32Petr MirvaldM
- 47Aleš ČermákF
- 10Jan MatoušekF
- 99Ladislav AlmásiF
- 11Václav PilařM
- 8David HeidenreichD
- 15Mathews BandaD
- 19Jan KovaříkM
- 70Šimon ČernýM
- 9Ladislav KrobotF
- 71Jakub ŠimanG
- 12Michal ReichlG
- 22Jan VondraD
Form going into Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905
Slavia Praha
- D1-1away to Slovan Liberec16 August 2026
Bohemians 1905
- W2-0away to Zlin8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 20 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905
- 22 August 2026Slavia Praha 2–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 22 November 2025Slavia Praha 3–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 26 July 2025Bohemians 1905 0–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 2 March 2025Slavia Praha 2–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 29 September 2024Bohemians 1905 0–4 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 6 April 2024Slavia Praha 2–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Bohemians 1905
Slavia Praha
- W. Nowak5 goals1 assists
- M. Chytil4 goals
- E. Ayaosi3 goals1 assists
Bohemians 1905
- L. Almási3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.