31 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Artis vs Zlin Czech Liga prediction & result

Town Stadium Karvina, Brno
Referee: Vojtech Opocensky
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Artis 2-2 Zlin.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Artis, 27% draw, 31% Zlin — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Artis at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Artis4%Draw92%Zlin4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Sebastian Boháč
7'
21'
⚽Miloš Kopečnýassist: David Machalík
⚽adebayo quadri adediran
30'
34'
Michal Cupák
⚽Emmanuel Fullyassist: Papalélé
35'
Emmanuel Fully
35'
Albert Labik
40'
45+1'
⚽Miloš Kratochvílassist: Tomáš Poznar
59'
Tomáš Poznar
60'
🔁Tomáš Poznarout: Stanley Guzorochi Kanu
🔁El Hadji Latyr Ndiayeout: Vladimir Perisic
66'
🔁Albert Labikout: Martin Pospisil
66'
67'
Jakub Cernin
Karel Pojezny
79'
81'
🔁Joss Didibaout: Cletus Nombil
🔁Papaléléout: Sacha Komljenovic
81'
81'
🔁Frank Appiahout: Lukas Bartosak
🔁adebayo quadri adediranout: Dominik Sarapata
81'
90'
Miloš Kratochvíl
🔁Alexis Aléguéout: Adam Carlen
90+1'
90+2'
🔁Michal Cupákout: Jiří Štefan

Match stats — Artis vs Zlin

49%Possession51%
11Shots9
3On target5
2Corners4
1.75xG1.38

Goals against chances

Artis2 from 1.75 xGabout what the chances were worth
Zlin2 from 1.38 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Artis 4-2-3-1
  • 29R. KasikG
  • 2Š. HarazimD
  • 4D. PlechatýD
  • 34K. PojeznýD
  • 15E. FullyD
  • 36S. BoháčM
  • 9A. LabíkM
  • 7A. AléguéM
  • 6Q. AdediranM
  • 17PapaléléM
  • 12E. NdiayeF
Substitutes
  • 31J. BorekG
  • 77V. VukadinovicM
  • 32T. StoppenG
  • 20D. SarapataM
  • 26M. PospíšilM
  • 14A. PetrákM
  • 87V. PerišićF
  • 8S. KomljenovicM
  • 5M. JeřábekD
Coach: R. Nadvornik
Zlin 4-2-3-1
  • 17S. DostálG
  • 23M. KopečnýD
  • 24J. ČernínD
  • 45Prince Mbatshi MukubaD
  • 8D. MachalíkD
  • 6J. DidibaM
  • 27M. KratochvílM
  • 20F. AppiahM
  • 26M. CupákM
  • 82M. PišojaM
  • 88T. PoznarF
Substitutes
  • 4T. UlbrichM
  • 22M. FukalaD
  • 21D. GrygeraD
  • 14S. KanuF
  • 34M. KnoblochG
  • 39A. KřapkaD
  • 35O. KukučkaD
  • 19C. NombilM
  • 9D. ŠmigaF
Coach: P. Hoftych

Form going into Artis vs Zlin

Artis

Czech Liga

  • D0-0away to Teplice24 October 2026
  • W4-2away to Hradec Králové10 October 2026

Zlin

Czech Liga

  • D1-1Sigma Olomouc24 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Pardubice17 October 2026
  • L0-1Slavia Praha9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Artis142481528-1310
16Zlin1403111127-163

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Artis vs Zlin

  • 25 May 2025Zlin 2–1 ArtisFNL
  • 20 July 2024Artis 0–0 ZlinFNL
  • 22 June 2024Artis 0–0 ZlinFriendlies Clubs
  • 15 July 2023Zlin 4–2 ArtisFriendlies Clubs

The result against the call

Artis and Zlin drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Artis at 42% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Miloš Kopečný 21' for Zlin, adebayo quadri adediran 30' for Artis, Emmanuel Fully 35' for Artis, Miloš Kratochvíl 45+1' for Zlin. On expected goals it finished 1.75–1.38.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Artis a 67.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 61.0% after a win, 69.6% after a draw, 75.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 69.6%, 2.4 points higher than before the match.

For Zlin the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 95.9% going in: 93.4% after a win, 96.2% after a draw, 98.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 96.2%.

Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Artis v Zlin has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 41% / 26% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 42% / 27% / 31%: the biggest move is Zlin's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Artis win42%▲ +1
  2. Draw27%▲ +1
  3. Zlin win31%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.