31 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas NB I prediction & result

ETO Park
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Gyori ETO FC 2-2 Vasas.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Gyori ETO FC, 26% draw, 23% Vasas — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gyori ETO FC at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gyori ETO FC0%Draw5%Vasas95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽Jozef Urblíkassist: Sandor Hidi
Norbert Urblik
26'
46'
⚽Jozef Urblík
48'
Viktor Hei
51'
C. Molnár
54'
Sandor Hidi
🔁Élan Ricardoout: Peter Agba
57'
🔁Balint Selyemout: Marcell huszar
57'
⚽Luka Kulenović
60'
🔁viktor djukanovicout: Jewison Bennette
62'
63'
🔁C. Molnárout: András Radó
63'
🔁Szabolcs Mezeiout: Benjámin Cseke
Jewison Bennette
65'
69'
🔁Viktor Heiout: Bence Pávkovics
79'
Márk Kovácsréti
Daniel Štefulj
79'
80'
🔁Márk Kosztaout: Gergo Janos Palinkas
Miljan·Krpic
86'
🔁Željko Gavrićout: Claudiu Bumba
87'
🔁Daniel Štefuljout: Marc Giger
88'
⚽Luka Kulenovićassist: Jewison Bennette
90'

Match stats — Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas

63%Possession37%
17Shots17
7On target7
8Corners4
2.22xG1.8

Goals against chances

Gyori ETO FC2 from 2.22 xGabout what the chances were worth
Vasas2 from 1.80 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gyori ETO FC 4-4-2
  • 99S. PetrášG
  • 53Balint SelyemD
  • 37N. UrblíkD
  • 24M. KrpićD
  • 23D. ŠtefuljD
  • 90K. BánátiM
  • 77Élan RicardoM
  • 34V. ĐukanovićM
  • 80Ž. GavrićM
  • 9L. KulenovićF
  • 30M. MarongF
Substitutes
  • 19J. BennetteF
  • 7P. AgbaM
  • 10C. BumbaM
  • 20B. BíróD
  • 88M. GigerF
  • 96M. HuszárF
  • 16B. MegyeriG
  • 26Á. UmathumD
  • 2Ș. VlădoiuD
Coach: E. Juárez
Vasas 4-2-3-1
  • 87M. EngediG
  • 22Viktor HeiD
  • 36B. BaráthD
  • 17Dániel CsókaD
  • 14Á. DoktoricsD
  • 24S. MezeiM
  • 15S. HidiM
  • 89Csaba Milán MolnárM
  • 88J. UrblíkM
  • 10M. KovácsrétiM
  • 9M. KosztaF
Substitutes
  • 6D. SztojkaM
  • 7A. RadóF
  • 4B. PávkovicsD
  • 18G. PálinkásF
  • 29B. PethőF
  • 34K. OtigbaD
  • 26J. UramG
  • 84Rajmund HorvathF
  • 68A. GirsikD
Coach: G. Erős

Form going into Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas

Gyori ETO FC

NB I

  • W1-0Ujpest24 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Paks17 October 2026
  • L0-1Puskas Academy11 October 2026

Vasas

NB I

  • L0-2Paks25 October 2026
  • L0-1away to MTK Budapest16 October 2026
  • D1-1Kisvarda FC10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Gyori ETO FC136522215+723
7Vasas134452019+116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas

  • 26 July 2026Vasas 2–2 Gyori ETO FCNB I
  • 20 May 2024Gyori ETO FC 3–2 VasasNB II
  • 27 November 2023Vasas 6–0 Gyori ETO FCNB II
  • 13 March 2022Vasas 2–0 Gyori ETO FCNB II
  • 26 September 2021Gyori ETO FC 3–1 VasasNB II
  • 14 July 2021Gyori ETO FC 0–3 VasasFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Gyori ETO FC and Vasas

Gyori ETO FC

GoalsAssists

  • V. Đukanović40
  • L. Kulenović32

Vasas

GoalsAssists

  • J. Urblík33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gyori ETO FC and Vasas drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Gyori ETO FC at 51% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jozef Urblík 4' for Vasas, Jozef Urblík 46' for Vasas, Luka Kulenović 60' for Gyori ETO FC, Luka Kulenović 90' for Gyori ETO FC. On expected goals it finished 2.22–1.80.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Gyori ETO FC a 34.0% chance to win the league: 38.0% after a win, 30.3% after a draw, 26.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 30.3%, 3.7 points lower than before the match.

For Vasas the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 14.2% going in: 19.9% after a win, 14.6% after a draw, 10.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 14.6%.

Read from our NB I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Gyori ETO FC v Vasas has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 46% / 26% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 51% / 26% / 23%: the biggest move is Gyori ETO FC's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Gyori ETO FC win51%▲ +5
  2. Draw26%=
  3. Vasas win23%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.