Slovácko vs Teplice Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slovácko 1-3 Teplice.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Slovácko, 28% draw, 41% Teplice — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Teplice at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slovácko vs Teplice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29M. HečaG
- 21Š. SlončíkD
- 22J. BehiratcheD
- 3M. RundićD
- 15P. BlahútM
- 26T. KostadinovM
- 10M. TrávníkM
- 6M. ŠviderskýM
- 20M. HavlíkM
- 72L. VorlickýM
- 30D. PuškáčF
- 27A. DolžnikovM
- 18J. FialaF
- 34P. HalouskaG
- 17F. HruskaM
- 77P. JuroškaM
- 19Tomáš KrálD
- 9A. MarinelliF
- 2Gigli NdefeD
- 16G. SossehM
- 29M. TrmalG
- 3J. ŠvandaD
- 4O. VientiessD
- 28D. VečerkaD
- 25M. RizničD
- 8J. FortelnýM
- 23L. MarečekM
- 35M. RadostaM
- 12M. ČermákM
- 21I. HopiM
- 10M. PulkrabF
- 22L. TakácsD
- 37D. MarečekM
- 31K. LichtenbergG
- 14Ladislav Krejčí IM
- 11M. KozákF
- 19R. JuklM
- 5J. JakubkoD
- 15J. HarušťákD
- 6M. BílekM
Form going into Slovácko vs Teplice
Slovácko
Czech Liga
- L1-5away to Sparta Praha25 October 2026
- L1-2Zbrojovka Brno18 October 2026
- W2-0away to Slovan Liberec11 October 2026
Teplice
Czech Liga
- D0-0Artis24 October 2026
- L0-1away to Mlada Boleslav17 October 2026
- D1-1Sigma Olomouc11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Slovácko | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
| 6 | Teplice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slovácko vs Teplice
- 3 May 2026Teplice 1–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 13 December 2025Teplice 1–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 16 August 2025Slovácko 2–1 TepliceCzech Liga
- 11 May 2025Teplice 1–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 15 March 2025Teplice 1–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 20 October 2024Slovácko 0–2 TepliceCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Slovácko and Teplice
Slovácko
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Teplice
GoalsAssists
- M. Pulkrab43
- John Auta40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Teplice won 3–1 at Slovácko. The model had made a win for Teplice its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Matěj Pulkrab 8' for Teplice, Matej Radosta 39' for Teplice, Michal Trávník 44' for Slovácko, Matej Riznič 51' for Teplice. On expected goals it finished 3.10–1.56.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Slovácko a 72.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 63.6% after a win, 74.1% after a draw, 78.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 78.1%, 5.6 points higher than before the match.
For Teplice the question was the chance to finish in the top ten, 77.4% going in: 83.7% after a win, 74.9% after a draw, 71.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 83.7%, 6.3 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.