31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno Czech Liga prediction & result

Andruv stadion, Olomouc
Referee: Stanislav Volek
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Sigma Olomouc 3-0 Zbrojovka Brno.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Sigma Olomouc, 27% draw, 27% Zbrojovka Brno — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sigma Olomouc at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sigma Olomouc99%Draw1%Zbrojovka Brno0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Leonardo Borges
3'
⚽Vaclav Sejkassist: Péter Baráth
21'
36'
Jakub Pokorný
45'
🔁Antonín Vaníčekout: Lucky Ezeh
45'
🔁Lukáš Penxaout: Kauan Carneiro da Silva
45'
🔁Patrik Cavosout: Jakub Janetzky
47'
Kauan Carneiro da Silva
53'
Filip Vedral
⚽Marko Soldoassist: Ahmad Ghali Abubakar
58'
67'
🔁Kauan Carneiro da Silvaout: Denis Granecný
🔁Dominik Janosekout: Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson
74'
•Vaclav Sejk
74'
⚽Vaclav Sejk (pen)
76'
🔁Leonardo Borgesout: Tomáš Huk
80'
🔁Marko Soldoout: David Tkáč
80'
81'
🔁Tadeáš Vachoušekout: Martin Rymarenko
🔁Vaclav Sejkout: John Paul Dembe
89'
🔁Ahmad Ghali Abubakarout: Filip Slavicek
89'

Match stats — Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno

62%Possession38%
24Shots5
10On target0
10Corners7
3.22xG0.4

Goals against chances

Sigma Olomouc3 from 3.22 xGabout what the chances were worth
Zbrojovka Brno0 from 0.40 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sigma Olomouc 3-4-3
  • 91Jan KoutnýG
  • 3L. LurvinkD
  • 33M. MalýD
  • 4Léo BorgesD
  • 70A. GhaliM
  • 88P. BaráthM
  • 7M. BeranM
  • 29A. EkerothM
  • 39D. JanošekF
  • 10V. SejkF
  • 14M. SoldoF
Substitutes
  • 24D. TkáčM
  • 16F. SlavíčekD
  • 31A. PavlešićG
  • 11H. MikaelssonF
  • 9J. KlimentF
  • 37N. JadrnicekM
  • 5T. HukD
  • 98M. HruškaG
  • 17J. DembeF
Coach: P. Hapal
Zbrojovka Brno 3-4-3
  • 1A. HrdinaG
  • 39J. KlímaD
  • 26F. VedralD
  • 38J. PokornýD
  • 6Lukáš PenxaM
  • 7Š. LangerM
  • 8P. ČavošM
  • 44A. DantéM
  • 10A. VaníčekF
  • 15D. VašulínF
  • 14T. VachoušekF
Substitutes
  • 79S. AfolabiM
  • 23P. ŠevčíkM
  • 11M. RymarenkoF
  • 78O. ProdelalG
  • 19B. KanakimanaF
  • 3Kauan Carneiro KakaD
  • 68J. JanetzkýM
  • 18D. GranečnýD
  • 77L. EzehF
Coach: M. Svědík

Form going into Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno

Sigma Olomouc

Czech Liga

  • D1-1away to Zlin24 October 2026
  • W1-0Slovan Liberec17 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Teplice11 October 2026

Zbrojovka Brno

Czech Liga

  • D2-2Bohemians 190524 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Slovácko18 October 2026
  • L0-1FK Jablonec10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Sigma Olomouc147342220+224
10Zbrojovka Brno146261722-520

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno

  • 13 November 2022Zbrojovka Brno 2–3 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 6 August 2022Sigma Olomouc 0–2 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
  • 3 July 2021Sigma Olomouc 2–0 Zbrojovka BrnoFriendlies Clubs
  • 20 February 2021Sigma Olomouc 1–0 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
  • 20 September 2020Zbrojovka Brno 2–4 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 5 August 2020Sigma Olomouc 0–2 Zbrojovka BrnoFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Sigma Olomouc and Zbrojovka Brno

Sigma Olomouc

GoalsAssists

  • V. Sejk63
  • A. Ghali42

Zbrojovka Brno

GoalsAssists

  • D. Vašulín50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sigma Olomouc beat Zbrojovka Brno 3–0. The model had made a win for Sigma Olomouc its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Vaclav Sejk 21' for Sigma Olomouc, Marko Soldo 58' for Sigma Olomouc, Vaclav Sejk (penalty) 76' for Sigma Olomouc. On expected goals it finished 3.22–0.40.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sigma Olomouc a 92.2% chance to finish in the top ten: 94.9% after a win, 91.1% after a draw, 89.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 94.9%, 2.7 points higher than before the match.

For Zbrojovka Brno the question was the chance to finish in the top ten, 77.3% going in: 84.6% after a win, 77.8% after a draw, 73.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 73.8%, 3.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.