31 October 2026, 14:30 UTC

Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce Super Liga prediction & result

Štadión pod Dubňom, Zilina
Referee: Boris Benedik, Slovakia
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Žilina 4-1 Zemplín Michalovce.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% Žilina, 23% draw, 18% Zemplín Michalovce — fair odds of 1.69, 4.35 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Žilina at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Žilina99%Draw1%Zemplín Michalovce0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽T. Hranicaassist: A. Narimanidze
8'
20'
E. Mashike
30'
J. Lopez
⚽M. Fasko (pen)
52'
54'
T. Dzotsenidze
🔁F. Kosaout: P. Ilko
65'
🔁D. Homet Ruizout: M. Roginic
65'
⚽M. Faskoassist: M. Roginic
70'
71'
🔁J. Lopezout: P. Danek
72'
🔁K. Taylor-Hartout: N. Cervantes
72'
🔁E. Mashikeout: T. Walczak
🔁M. Faskoout: K. Bilalovic
74'
🔁K. Bariout: M. Traore
74'
75'
N. Cervantes
81'
🔁A. Zubairuout: O. Kalemi
🔁M. Kacerout: X. Adang
81'
85'
⚽L. Lemishkoassist: N. Cervantes
⚽K. Bilalovicassist: M. Roginic
90+2'

Match stats — Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce

58%Possession42%
18Shots8
8On target5
5Corners1
3.24xG1.51

Goals against chances

Žilina4 from 3.24 xGmore than the chances were worth
Zemplín Michalovce1 from 1.51 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Žilina
  • 31D. Sipos
  • 25J. Albin
  • 17J. Minarik
  • 28A. Narimanidze
  • 21T. Hranica
  • 66M. Kacer
  • 11F. Bzdyl
  • 20K. Bari
  • 23M. Fasko
  • 90D. Homet Ruiz
  • 7F. Kosa
Substitutes
  • 1J. Badzgon
  • 19M. Traore
  • 99K. Bilalovic
  • 10A. Florea
  • 6X. Adang
  • 16P. Ilko
  • 95M. Roginic
Coach: Vladimir Vesely
Zemplín Michalovce
  • 16A. Jakubech
  • 25L. Pauschek
  • 26T. Dzotsenidze
  • 5P. Volanakis
  • 20L. Lemishko
  • 8T. Pilling
  • 4A. Zubairu
  • 13N. Mihhailov
  • 11J. Lopez
  • 99E. Mashike
  • 14K. Taylor-Hart
Substitutes
  • 1P. Lukac
  • 77Park Tae-rang
  • 7K. Brosnan
  • 42O. Kalemi
  • 22P. Danek
  • 9T. Walczak
  • 47N. Cervantes
Coach: Anton Soltis

Form going into Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce

Žilina

Super Liga

  • D2-2away to FK Košice25 October 2026
  • L2-3Dunajska Streda18 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Ružomberok11 October 2026

Zemplín Michalovce

Super Liga

  • L1-4Podbrezová24 October 2026
  • D1-1FK Košice18 October 2026
  • L0-3Dunajska Streda10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Žilina148423727+1028
8Zemplín Michalovce144281225-1314

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce

  • 2 August 2026Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 5 May 2026Žilina 3–2 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
  • 4 April 2026Zemplín Michalovce 2–1 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 8 November 2025Žilina 2–0 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
  • 9 August 2025Zemplín Michalovce 2–4 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 9 November 2024Zemplín Michalovce 1–1 ŽilinaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Žilina and Zemplín Michalovce

Žilina

GoalsAssists

  • M. Faško61
  • T. Hranica31
  • D. Homet Ruiz30

Zemplín Michalovce

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Žilina beat Zemplín Michalovce 4–1. The model had made a win for Žilina its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: T. Hranica 8' for Žilina, M. Fasko (penalty) 52' for Žilina, M. Fasko 70' for Žilina, L. Lemishko 85' for Zemplín Michalovce, K. Bilalovic 90+2' for Žilina. On expected goals it finished 3.24–1.51.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zemplín Michalovce a 19.0% chance to finish in the top six: 33.9% after a win, 20.4% after a draw, 15.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.1%, 3.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Žilina v Zemplín Michalovce has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 56% / 24% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 59% / 23% / 18%: the biggest move is Žilina's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Žilina win59%▲ +3
  2. Draw23%▼ −1
  3. Zemplín Michalovce win18%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.