31 October 2026, 14:30 UTC

Spartak Trnava vs Komárno Super Liga prediction & result

City Arena Trnava, Trnava
Referee: Filip Glova, Slovakia
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Komárno.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% Spartak Trnava, 25% draw, 14% Komárno — fair odds of 1.64, 4.00 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Spartak Trnava at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Spartak Trnava5%Draw93%Komárno2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽T. Kudlickaassist: R. Begala
19'
29'
D. Zak
33'
⚽J. Sylvestrassist: A. Krcik
46'
🔁D. Zakout: C. Bayemi
🔁L. Fabisout: D. Bukovsky
56'
64'
🔁J. Sylvestrout: F. Kiss
64'
🔁A. Gavrylenkoout: G. Ganbayar
🔁P. Azangoout: L. Mehmeti
67'
77'
🔁N. Tamasout: J. Palan
🔁G. Moistsrapishviliout: T. Wildeboer
80'
🔁R. Begalaout: P. Nwadike
80'
•F. Trello
82'
83'
🔁A. Masarykout: D. Ozvolda
E. Sabo
89'
90'
⚽M. Simkoassist: J. Bernat

Match stats — Spartak Trnava vs Komárno

60%Possession40%
17Shots14
6On target6
5Corners4
2.32xG2.69

Goals against chances

Spartak Trnava1 from 2.32 xGless than the chances were worth
Komárno2 from 2.69 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Spartak Trnava
  • 72M. Vantruba
  • 24K. Kostrna
  • 52E. Sabo
  • 13M. Ujlaky
  • 3J. Carrion
  • 5R. Begala
  • 8G. Moistsrapishvili
  • 11P. Azango
  • 20F. Trello
  • 21L. Fabis
  • 19T. Kudlicka
Substitutes
  • 1B. Szaraz
  • 4L. Holik
  • 2P. Nwadike
  • 6R. Prochazka
  • 73P. Tejzr
  • 22D. Bukovsky
  • 14T. Wildeboer
  • 17L. Mehmeti
  • 23J. Terenkov
Coach: Gergely Geri
Komárno
  • 32B. Pindroch
  • 37A. Krcik
  • 8S. Smehyl
  • 3M. Simko
  • 5D. Spiriak
  • 22N. Tamas
  • 23J. Bernat
  • 12D. Zak
  • 44A. Gavrylenko
  • 9J. Sylvestr
  • 77A. Masaryk
Substitutes
  • 26E. Gyurakovics
  • 20Matheus Leoni
  • 14F. Kiss
  • 18J. Palan
  • 6D. Ozvolda
  • 7G. Ganbayar
  • 17C. Bayemi
  • 55O. Akinwande
Coach: Pavol Gregora

Form going into Spartak Trnava vs Komárno

Spartak Trnava

Super Liga

  • D1-1away to Skalica24 October 2026
  • L0-3Slovan Bratislava17 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Podbrezová11 October 2026

Komárno

Super Liga

  • D0-0AS Trencin25 October 2026
  • L0-1Ružomberok17 October 2026
  • D1-1away to FK Košice10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Spartak Trnava147432818+1025
9Komárno142751317-413

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Spartak Trnava vs Komárno

  • 2 August 2026Komárno 1–2 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
  • 29 November 2025Spartak Trnava 2–0 KomárnoSuper Liga
  • 24 August 2025Komárno 1–4 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
  • 9 November 2024Komárno 1–2 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
  • 30 October 2024Spartak Trnava 3–2 KomárnoSuper Liga
  • 28 February 2023Komárno 0–2 Spartak TrnavaCup

Leading scorers: Spartak Trnava and Komárno

Spartak Trnava

GoalsAssists

  • T. Kudlička31

Komárno

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Komárno won 2–1 at Spartak Trnava. The model had leaned towards a win for Spartak Trnava at 61% and given a win for Komárno 14%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: T. Kudlicka 19' for Spartak Trnava, J. Sylvestr 33' for Komárno, M. Simko 90' for Komárno. On expected goals it finished 2.32–2.69.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Komárno a 77.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 61.4% after a win, 75.4% after a draw, 81.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 61.4%, 15.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.