24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos Super League 1 prediction & result

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Referee: Alexandros Megas
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Asteras Tripolis 0-0 Levadiakos.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Asteras Tripolis, 29% draw, 31% Levadiakos — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Asteras Tripolis at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Asteras Tripolis4%Draw93%Levadiakos3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
Giannis Tsivelekidis
16'
Ognjen Ožegović
29'
Octavian Popescu
Dimitrios Laskaris
31'
45'
🔁Giannis Tsivelekidisout: Taxiarchis Filon
45'
🔁Agustin Urziout: Georgios Vrakas
🔁Antonis Papakanellosout: Franco Orozco
63'
64'
🔁Octavian Popescuout: Dimitrios Emmanouilidis
Julián Bartolo
72'
🔁Eder Gonzálezout: Giannis Bouzoukis
74'
🔁Dimitrios Laskarisout: Nikos Kaltsas
74'
80'
🔁Ognjen Ožegovićout: Juan Bauza
Franz Brorsson
85'
86'
🔁Giannis Kostiout: Adrian Sut
🔁Federico Machedaout: Ricardo Viana Filho
87'
🔁Alejandro·Mendez Garciaout: Chrysanthos Gezos
87'
90+3'
Taxiarchis Filon
•Nikos Kaltsas
90+5'

Match stats — Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos

65%Possession35%
9Shots6
1On target1
5Corners3
0xG0

Goals against chances

Asteras Tripolis0 from 0.00 xGabout what the chances were worth
Levadiakos0 from 0.00 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3
  • 1N. PapadopoulosG
  • 74D. LaskarisD
  • 16F. BrorssonD
  • 6K. ChrisopoulosD
  • 27G. KotsirasM
  • 21D. KourbelisM
  • 10Eder GonzálezM
  • 28Alex MéndezM
  • 7J. BartoloF
  • 9F. MachedaF
  • 44A. PapakanellosF
Substitutes
  • 61V. ChatziemmanouilG
  • 8I. BouzoukisM
  • 14J. ChiccoM
  • 64P. DeligiannidisD
  • 22Chrysanthos GezosF
  • 91T. KakadiarisG
  • 20N. KaltsasF
  • 75B. Mbunga KimpiokaF
  • 19F. OrozcoM
Coach: G. Antonopoulos
Levadiakos 4-2-3-1
  • 55N. EliasiG
  • 23G. KornezosD
  • 24P. LiagasD
  • 37I. TsivelekidisD
  • 3M. VichosD
  • 66M. NdiayeM
  • 18I. KostiM
  • 11A. UrziM
  • 14G. ManthatisM
  • 30Octavian PopescuM
  • 9O. OžegovićF
Substitutes
  • 77G. VrakasF
  • 27G. RodríguezF
  • 4Jonathan PanzoD
  • 2A. PanteaD
  • 33Lucas AnackerG
  • 8G. NikasM
  • 20K. GoumasM
  • 22M. FilonD
  • 17D. EmmanouilidisF
Coach: I. Charalambous

Form going into Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos

Asteras Tripolis

Super League 1

  • L1-5away to Panathinaikos18 October 2026
  • W2-1Atromitos10 October 2026

Levadiakos

Super League 1

  • D0-0Volos NFC17 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Iraklis 190811 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Asteras Tripolis10145918-97
13Levadiakos10136413-96

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos

  • 18 August 2026Levadiakos 2–0 Asteras TripolisCup
  • 1 February 2026Levadiakos 3–1 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
  • 7 December 2025Asteras Tripolis 1–1 LevadiakosSuper League 1
  • 29 October 2025Levadiakos 1–0 Asteras TripolisCup
  • 19 January 2025Levadiakos 1–2 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
  • 28 September 2024Asteras Tripolis 1–1 LevadiakosSuper League 1

Leading scorers: Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos

Asteras Tripolis

GoalsAssists

  • F. Macheda31

Levadiakos

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Asteras Tripolis at 40% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.00–0.00.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Asteras Tripolis a 42.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 32.8% after a win, 44.8% after a draw, 52.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 44.8%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.

For Levadiakos the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 68.4% going in: 58.0% after a win, 69.5% after a draw, 76.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 69.5%, 1.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Asteras Tripolis v Levadiakos has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 38% / 28% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 40% / 29% / 31%: the biggest move is Levadiakos's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Asteras Tripolis win40%▲ +2
  2. Draw29%▲ +1
  3. Levadiakos win31%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.