29 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte Major League Soccer prediction & result

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Atlanta United FC 0-2 Charlotte.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Atlanta United FC, 25% draw, 28% Charlotte — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Atlanta United FC at 47% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte

Atlanta United FC

  • W2-1Sporting Kansas City23 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Minnesota United FC20 August 2026
  • W2-1New York Red Bulls15 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Philadelphia Union1 August 2026
  • L1-4away to New England Revolution25 July 2026

Charlotte

  • W3-1DC United22 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Toronto FC19 August 2026
  • W3-1Columbus Crew15 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Chicago Fire2 August 2026
  • W2-0away to New York Red Bulls25 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte

  • 23 July 2026Charlotte 2–2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
  • 28 April 2026Charlotte 0–2 Atlanta United FCUS Open Cup
  • 19 July 2025Atlanta United FC 2–3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 1 March 2025Charlotte 2–0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
  • 31 August 2024Charlotte 0–1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
  • 2 June 2024Atlanta United FC 2–3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Atlanta United FC and Charlotte

Atlanta United FC

No leading scorers listed yet.

Charlotte

  • Pep Biel11 goals6 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.