29 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal Major League Soccer prediction & result

Nu Stadium, Fort Lauderdale
Full time7 – 1

Final score: Inter Miami 7-1 CF Montreal.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% Inter Miami, 21% draw, 20% CF Montreal — fair odds of 1.69, 4.76 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Inter Miami at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Inter Miami99%Draw1%CF Montreal0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

I. Fray
11'
⚽Casemiroassist: T. Segovia
20'
35'
F. Herbers
37'
⚽F. Herbersassist: N. Streit
39'
N. Streit
⚽L. Messi
40'
⚽L. Messi
52'
59'
🔁S. Pietteout: D. Pereira
59'
🔁G. Synchukout: D. Sealy
60'
🔁F. Herbersout: A. Sanchez
🔁T. Segoviaout: A. Shaw
76'
⚽L. Suarezassist: L. Messi
80'
⚽L. Messiassist: R. de Paul
83'
84'
🔁N. Streitout: B. Craig
84'
🔁J. Nealout: W. Carmona
🔁I. Frayout: F. Mura
86'
🔁N. Allenout: C. Abadia-Reda
86'
⚽A. Shaw
89'
⚽L. Messi
90'

Match stats — Inter Miami vs CF Montreal

57%Possession43%
20Shots10
11On target5
6Corners6
3.04xG0.92

Goals against chances

Inter Miami7 from 3.04 xGmore than the chances were worth
CF Montreal1 from 0.92 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Inter Miami 4-3-3
  • 97D. St.ClairG
  • 17I. FrayD
  • 37M. FalconD
  • 5CasemiroD
  • 32N. AllenD
  • 7R. de PaulM
  • 42Y. BrightM
  • 8T. SegoviaM
  • 10L. MessiF
  • 19G. BerterameF
  • 9L. SuarezF
Substitutes
  • 34R. RiosG
  • 4F. MuraD
  • 76C. Abadia-RedaD
  • 22D. AyalaM
  • 15F. CaicedoD
  • 59P. PlambeckM
  • 88A. ShawM
  • 56D. PinterF
  • 54L. DelinoisF
Coach: Kily Gonzalez
CF Montreal 4-3-3
  • 31T. GillierG
  • 27D. BugajD
  • 2J. NealD
  • 4B. VeraD
  • 13L. PetrassoD
  • 8M. LongstaffM
  • 6S. PietteM
  • 21F. HerbersM
  • 18G. SynchukF
  • 9P. OwusuF
  • 23N. StreitF
Substitutes
  • 1S. BrezaG
  • 5B. CraigD
  • 22V. LoturiM
  • 16W. CarmonaM
  • 29O. EscobarF
  • 7D. PereiraM
  • 10A. SanchezF
  • 14D. RiosF
  • 17D. SealyM
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy

Form going into Inter Miami vs CF Montreal

Inter Miami

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Toronto FC22 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Philadelphia Union19 August 2026
  • L1-4away to Nashville SC16 August 2026
  • D2-2Columbus Crew1 August 2026
  • W1-0away to CF Montreal25 July 2026

CF Montreal

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Los Angeles Galaxy22 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Columbus Crew19 August 2026
  • D1-1DC United15 August 2026
  • D2-2New England Revolution1 August 2026
  • L0-1Inter Miami25 July 2026

What these results say

  • Inter Miami scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Inter Miami failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Inter Miami conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • CF Montreal conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • CF Montreal failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • CF Montreal scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Inter Miami34161268059+2160
15CF Montreal3468203769-3226

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Inter Miami vs CF Montreal

  • 25 July 2026CF Montreal 0–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 5 July 2025CF Montreal 1–4 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 28 May 2025Inter Miami 4–2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 11 May 2024CF Montreal 2–3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 10 March 2024Inter Miami 2–3 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 27 May 2023CF Montreal 1–0 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Inter Miami and CF Montreal

Inter Miami

GoalsAssists

  • L. Messi2613
  • L. Suárez166

CF Montreal

GoalsAssists

  • P. Owusu156

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Inter Miami beat CF Montreal 7–1. The model had made a win for Inter Miami its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Casemiro 20' for Inter Miami, F. Herbers 37' for CF Montreal, L. Messi 40' for Inter Miami, L. Messi 52' for Inter Miami, L. Suarez 80' for Inter Miami, L. Messi 83' for Inter Miami, A. Shaw 89' for Inter Miami, L. Messi 90' for Inter Miami. On expected goals it finished 3.04–0.92.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.