DC United vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: DC United 0-0 Los Angeles FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% DC United, 24% draw, 25% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
DC United at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — DC United vs Los Angeles FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 2K. NonoD
- 3L. BartlettD
- 21A. DozzellD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 4M. PeltolaM
- 7PeglowM
- 11L. MunteanuF
- 25J. HopkinsF
- 22N. OrdazF
- 26A. BonoG
- 13S. NealisD
- 27N. MarkovicD
- 77H. KijimaM
- 48G. TurnerM
- 40K. CastilloM
- 8J. StroudM
- 32O. AvilezF
- 1H. LlorisG
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 5R. PorteousD
- 33A. LongD
- 23Y. CheberkoD
- 66M. ChoiniereM
- 4E. SeguraM
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 99D. BouangaF
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 31C. CarterG
- 45K. NielsenD
- 91Nkosi TafariD
- 44C. DiazD
- 22J. TerryM
- 19T. BoydF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 90T. MihalicF
- 49C. KosakoffF
Form going into DC United vs Los Angeles FC
DC United
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Charlotte22 August 2026
- L0-3New England Revolution19 August 2026
- D1-1away to CF Montreal15 August 2026
- D2-2Nashville SC1 August 2026
- W2-1Toronto FC25 July 2026
Los Angeles FC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Portland Timbers23 August 2026
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids20 August 2026
- L0-1San Diego16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Vancouver Whitecaps1 August 2026
- W4-0Sporting Kansas City26 July 2026
What these results say
- DC United conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- DC United failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- DC United scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Los Angeles FC had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: DC United vs Los Angeles FC
- 5 February 2023DC United 2–1 Los Angeles FCFriendlies Clubs
- 17 August 2022Los Angeles FC 1–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- 6 April 2019DC United 0–4 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 27 May 2018Los Angeles FC 1–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: DC United and Los Angeles FC
DC United
GoalsAssists
- T. Baribo161
Los Angeles FC
GoalsAssists
- D. Bouanga185
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
DC United and Los Angeles FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for DC United at 51% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.23–1.80.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.