Atlante FC vs Leon Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Atlante FC 1-1 Leon.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Atlante FC, 28% draw, 32% Leon — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atlante FC at 40% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Atlante FC vs Leon
Atlante FC
- L0-2away to Tigres UANL22 August 2026
- D0-0Toluca15 August 2026
Leon
- W2-0Monterrey22 August 2026
- W2-1away to Necaxa18 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Atlante FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 6 | Leon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Atlante FC and Leon
Atlante FC
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Leon
- D. Cambindo3 goals1 assists
- D. Arcila3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.