Sassuolo vs Torino Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Sassuolo 2-1 Torino.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Sassuolo, 24% draw, 30% Torino — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sassuolo at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sassuolo vs Torino
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 49A. MuricG
- 46S. CinquegranoD
- 21J. IdzesD
- 16F. LeysenD
- 3J. DoigD
- 17V. AdzicM
- 18N. MaticM
- 50D. BakolaM
- 7C. VolpatoF
- 9K. BowieF
- 45A. LaurienteF
- 80S. TuratiG
- 12G. SatalinoG
- 26C. OdenthalD
- 2F. MissoriD
- 33R. ObradorD
- 8A. GhionM
- 35L. LipaniM
- 42K. ThorstvedtM
- 44E. IannoniM
- 26D. MascardiG
- 29N. FortiniD
- 15P. ComuzzoD
- 23S. CocoD
- 5E. ComertD
- 77A. CacciamaniD
- 66G. GineitisM
- 28K. Fitz-JimM
- 10N. VlasicM
- 18G. SimeoneF
- 19C. AdamsF
- 76L. SivieroG
- 1A. PaleariG
- 44A. IsmajliD
- 21A. DembeleD
- 25M. PelliniD
- 14F. AnjorinM
- 11G. OristanioM
- 6E. IlkhanM
- 79A. LuongoF
Form going into Sassuolo vs Torino
Sassuolo
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Atalanta23 August 2026
Torino
All competitions we cover
- L1-2AC Milan23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 8 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sassuolo vs Torino
- 8 May 2026Torino 2–1 SassuoloSerie A
- 21 December 2025Sassuolo 0–1 TorinoSerie A
- 10 February 2024Sassuolo 1–1 TorinoSerie A
- 6 November 2023Torino 2–1 SassuoloSerie A
- 3 April 2023Sassuolo 1–1 TorinoSerie A
Leading scorers: Sassuolo and Torino
Sassuolo
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Torino
GoalsAssists
- C. Adams40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sassuolo beat Torino 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sassuolo at 46%. The goals: C. Volpato 32' for Sassuolo, P. Comuzzo 45' for Torino, D. Berardi 78' for Sassuolo. On expected goals it finished 1.12–1.15.