29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Sassuolo vs Torino Serie A prediction & result

Reggio Emilia
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Sassuolo 2-1 Torino.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Sassuolo, 24% draw, 30% Torino — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sassuolo at 46% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sassuolo96%Draw4%Torino0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

23'
Gvidas Gineitis
⚽C. Volpatoassist: V. Adzic
32'
Nemanja Matić
40'
45'
⚽P. Comuzzoassist: A. Cacciamani
Cristian Volpato
47'
🔁V. Adzicout: K. Thorstvedt
60'
🔁C. Volpatoout: B. Dominguez
60'
🔁J. Doigout: R. Obrador
61'
67'
🔁E. Comertout: A. Ismajli
67'
🔁G. Gineitisout: E. Ilkhan
Armand Laurienté
70'
🔁K. Bowieout: D. Berardi
72'
73'
🔁G. Simeoneout: S. Kulenovic
73'
🔁N. Fortiniout: Z. Aboukhlal
⚽D. Berardiassist: F. Leysen
78'
83'
🔁C. Adamsout: D. Zapata
🔁N. Maticout: L. Lipani
90'

Match stats — Sassuolo vs Torino

46%Possession54%
19Shots10
7On target4
4Corners3
1.12xG1.15

Goals against chances

Sassuolo2 from 1.12 xGmore than the chances were worth
Torino1 from 1.15 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sassuolo 4-3-3
  • 49A. MuricG
  • 46S. CinquegranoD
  • 21J. IdzesD
  • 16F. LeysenD
  • 3J. DoigD
  • 17V. AdzicM
  • 18N. MaticM
  • 50D. BakolaM
  • 7C. VolpatoF
  • 9K. BowieF
  • 45A. LaurienteF
Substitutes
  • 80S. TuratiG
  • 12G. SatalinoG
  • 26C. OdenthalD
  • 2F. MissoriD
  • 33R. ObradorD
  • 8A. GhionM
  • 35L. LipaniM
  • 42K. ThorstvedtM
  • 44E. IannoniM
Coach: Alberto Aquilani
Torino 5-3-2
  • 26D. MascardiG
  • 29N. FortiniD
  • 15P. ComuzzoD
  • 23S. CocoD
  • 5E. ComertD
  • 77A. CacciamaniD
  • 66G. GineitisM
  • 28K. Fitz-JimM
  • 10N. VlasicM
  • 18G. SimeoneF
  • 19C. AdamsF
Substitutes
  • 76L. SivieroG
  • 1A. PaleariG
  • 44A. IsmajliD
  • 21A. DembeleD
  • 25M. PelliniD
  • 14F. AnjorinM
  • 11G. OristanioM
  • 6E. IlkhanM
  • 79A. LuongoF
Coach: Ignazio Abate

Form going into Sassuolo vs Torino

Sassuolo

  • L1-2away to Atalanta23 August 2026

Torino

  • L1-2AC Milan23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Sassuolo421187+17
14Torino410347-33

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sassuolo vs Torino

  • 29 August 2026Sassuolo 2–1 TorinoSerie A
  • 8 May 2026Torino 2–1 SassuoloSerie A
  • 21 December 2025Sassuolo 0–1 TorinoSerie A
  • 10 February 2024Sassuolo 1–1 TorinoSerie A
  • 6 November 2023Torino 2–1 SassuoloSerie A
  • 3 April 2023Sassuolo 1–1 TorinoSerie A

Leading scorers: Sassuolo and Torino

Sassuolo

  • Vasilije Adžić2 goals1 assists

Torino

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.