Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Club Tijuana 2-0 Pumas UNAM.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Club Tijuana, 27% draw, 25% Pumas UNAM — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Tijuana at 48% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM
Club Tijuana
- L2-5away to Guadalajara Chivas22 August 2026
- W2-1Cruz Azul17 August 2026
- D0-0away to Atletico San Luis1 August 2026
Pumas UNAM
- D1-1Necaxa24 August 2026
- D0-0Club Queretaro16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 | Pumas UNAM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM
- 28 February 2026Club Tijuana 1–1 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 2 November 2025Pumas UNAM 4–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 26 February 2025Club Tijuana 4–2 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 22 September 2024Pumas UNAM 1–0 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 10 March 2024Pumas UNAM 3–3 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 1 July 2023Club Tijuana 2–3 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
Leading scorers: Club Tijuana and Pumas UNAM
Club Tijuana
- G. Mora4 goals1 assists
Pumas UNAM
- Juninho4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.