Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Club Tijuana 2-0 Pumas UNAM.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Club Tijuana, 27% draw, 25% Pumas UNAM — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Club Tijuana at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 2A. RodriguezG
- 3R. FernandezD
- 12J. PorozoD
- 6A. GomezD
- 16A. VegaD
- 8I. TonaM
- 11F. GonzalezM
- 31Y. PadillaM
- 10G. MoraM
- 7A. PreciadoM
- 9M. El GhezouaniF
- 29J. HernandezG
- 4U. BilbaoD
- 18A. MejiaF
- 33P. N. Ortiz OrozcoD
- 34F. BoyaM
- 20A. ZapataM
- 26A. PerezM
- 17R. ArcigaF
- 202J. GonzalezF
- 1K. NavasG
- 7R. LopezD
- 2P. BennevendoD
- 6Nathan SilvaD
- 5R. DuarteD
- 21U. AntunaD
- 22A. MedinaM
- 8A. CarrasquillaM
- 18V. ArteagaM
- 14L. HerreraM
- 31R. MoralesF
- 35P. LaraG
- 19J. RivasD
- 13P. MonroyD
- 34A. AzuajeD
- 12C. CalderonD
- 45P. ViteM
- 15I. LunaM
- 20S. TrigosM
- 9G. MartinezF
Form going into Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM
Club Tijuana
All competitions we cover
- L2-5away to Guadalajara Chivas22 August 2026
- W2-1Cruz Azul17 August 2026
- D0-0away to Atletico San Luis1 August 2026
- W1-0Leon25 July 2026
- W3-1Tigres UANL17 July 2026
Pumas UNAM
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Necaxa24 August 2026
- D0-0Club Queretaro16 August 2026
- W5-1away to FC Juarez1 August 2026
- W2-1away to Toluca22 July 2026
- L0-3CF Pachuca18 July 2026
What these results say
- Club Tijuana scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Pumas UNAM conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 | Pumas UNAM | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM
- 28 February 2026Club Tijuana 1–1 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 2 November 2025Pumas UNAM 4–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 26 February 2025Club Tijuana 4–2 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 22 September 2024Pumas UNAM 1–0 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 10 March 2024Pumas UNAM 3–3 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 1 July 2023Club Tijuana 2–3 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
Leading scorers: Club Tijuana and Pumas UNAM
Club Tijuana
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Pumas UNAM
GoalsAssists
- Juninho91
- R. Morales54
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club Tijuana beat Pumas UNAM 2–0. The model had made a win for Club Tijuana its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: G. Mora (penalty) 53' for Club Tijuana, G. Mora (penalty) 81' for Club Tijuana. Sent off: Pablo Bennevendo (Pumas UNAM) 59'. On expected goals it finished 2.50–0.40.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.