2 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Atromitos vs Volos NFC Super League 1 prediction & result

Peristeri Stadium, Athens
Referee: Alexandros Katsikogiannis
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Atromitos 3-0 Volos NFC.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Atromitos, 27% draw, 24% Volos NFC — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Atromitos at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Atromitos99%Draw1%Volos NFC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Serginhoassist: Juan José Perea
27'
37'
Dženis Burnić
45'
Jan Hurtado
50'
Dženis Burnić
56'
🔁Jorge Samuel Figueiredo Fernandesout: Gustavo Furtado
57'
🔁Rémy Cabellaout: Matías Nahuel González
Mattheos Mountes
62'
🔁Kelvin Oforiout: S. Pnevmonidis
64'
🔁Mattheos Mountesout: Lefteris Lyratzis
64'
66'
🔁Jan Hurtadoout: Giorgos Charalampoglou
⚽Juan José Pereaassist: Samuel Moutoussamy
67'
70'
🔁Derek Agyakwaout: Stefanos Katsikas
71'
🔁Yvan Neyou Noupaout: Vasileios Grosdis
73'
Giannis Kargas
🔁Serginhoout: Sotiris Tsiloulis
74'
80'
•Gustavo Furtado
80'
Gustavo Furtado
🔁Juan José Pereaout: Panagiotis Tsantilas
81'
89'
Vasileios Grosdis
⚽Panagiotis Tsantilasassist: S. Pnevmonidis
90'
•Panagiotis Tsantilas
90'

Match stats — Atromitos vs Volos NFC

56%Possession44%
12Shots5
5On target3
1Corners2
2.41xG0.52

Goals against chances

Atromitos3 from 2.41 xGmore than the chances were worth
Volos NFC0 from 0.52 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Atromitos 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. ChoutesiotisG
  • 12M. MountesD
  • 44D. TsakmakisD
  • 4D. StavrópoulosD
  • 16G. PapadopoulosD
  • 6T. KaramanisM
  • 8S. MoutoussamyM
  • 97K. OforiM
  • 7S. ZuberM
  • 70SerginhoM
  • 9J. PereaF
Substitutes
  • 88S. DiengG
  • 31V. AthanasiouG
  • 17E. HoxhaM
  • 30A. KotsisM
  • 2L. LyratzisD
  • 32H. MagnússonD
  • 10S. PnevmonidisF
  • 19Panagiotis TsantilasF
  • 23S. TsiloulisM
Coach: D. Kerkez
Volos NFC 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. SiampanisG
  • 22G. MigasD
  • 4G. KargasD
  • 99D. AgyakwaD
  • 13Q. LecoeucheD
  • 91Y. NeyouM
  • 10JocaM
  • 27D. BurnićM
  • 8M. CombaM
  • 5R. CabellaM
  • 9Jan HurtadoF
Substitutes
  • 89F. RefatllariM
  • 18R. Pierre-GabrielD
  • 82Athanasios Papathanasiou GerofokoasG
  • 11Gustavo FurtadoM
  • 24K. LykourinosD
  • 7L. LamprouM
  • 28S. KatsikasD
  • 17V. GrosdisM
  • 21M. GonzálezM
Coach: Juan Garrido

Form going into Atromitos vs Volos NFC

Atromitos

Super League 1

  • L1-3away to Aris Thessalonikis25 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Asteras Tripolis10 October 2026
  • L1-2Kifisia19 September 2026

Volos NFC

Super League 1

  • L0-1Panathinaikos25 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Levadiakos17 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Aris Thessalonikis11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Atromitos9135912-36
14Volos NFC10037719-120

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Atromitos vs Volos NFC

  • 29 October 2026Volos NFC 1–3 AtromitosCup
  • 19 January 2026Volos NFC 0–3 AtromitosSuper League 1
  • 9 November 2025Atromitos 0–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 24 September 2025Volos NFC 1–1 AtromitosCup
  • 24 January 2025Volos NFC 0–1 AtromitosSuper League 1
  • 5 October 2024Atromitos 1–2 Volos NFCSuper League 1

The result against the call

Atromitos beat Volos NFC 3–0. The model had made a win for Atromitos its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Serginho 27' for Atromitos, Juan José Perea 67' for Atromitos, Panagiotis Tsantilas 90' for Atromitos. Sent off: Dženis Burnić (Volos NFC) 50', Gustavo Furtado (Volos NFC) 80'. On expected goals it finished 2.41–0.52.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Atromitos a 46.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 39.0% after a win, 51.2% after a draw, 56.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 39.0%, 7.1 points lower than before the match.

For Volos NFC the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 81.4% going in: 72.8% after a win, 80.6% after a draw, 86.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 86.5%, 5.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Atromitos v Volos NFC has moved

First published on 19 Oct at 52% / 26% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 49% / 27% / 24%: the biggest move is Atromitos's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Atromitos win49%▼ −3
  2. Draw27%▲ +1
  3. Volos NFC win24%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.