1 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Panetolikos vs OFI Super League 1 prediction & result

Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Referee: Zampalas, Spyros
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Panetolikos 0-1 OFI.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Panetolikos, 28% draw, 41% OFI — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

OFI at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Panetolikos0%Draw3%OFI97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

26'
Achilleas Poungouras
🔁Charis Mavriasout: David Galiatsos
41'
Athanasios Prodromitis
54'
🔁Kwadwo Opokuout: Youssouph Badji
58'
🔁Moussa Djenepoout: Salifou Soumah
58'
68'
🔁Aitor Cantalapiedraout: Kenan Kodro
Athanasios Prodromitis
69'
73'
🔁Achilleas Poungourasout: Konstantinos Kostoulas
🔁Diego Estebanout: Vangelis Nikolaou
74'
🔁Novica Erakovićout: Konstantinos Thymianis
74'
David Galiatsos
76'
88'
⚽Kenan Kodroassist: Nikolaos Athanasiou
90+2'
🔁Thiago Nussout: Zisis Karachalios
90+2'
🔁Taxiarchis Fountasout: Anastasios Chatzigiovanis

Match stats — Panetolikos vs OFI

37%Possession63%
13Shots12
3On target2
5Corners7
0.72xG1.42

Goals against chances

Panetolikos0 from 0.72 xGless than the chances were worth
OFI1 from 1.42 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Panetolikos 3-4-3
  • 99Y. KucherenkoG
  • 5A. ProdromitisD
  • 49N. StajićD
  • 4E. OlssonD
  • 35C. MavriasM
  • 22Diego EstebanM
  • 44N. ErakovićM
  • 15Christian ManriqueM
  • 90K. OpokuF
  • 14K. AleksićF
  • 12M. DjenepoF
Substitutes
  • 20Youssouph BadjiF
  • 10A. BassiM
  • 19A. BregouM
  • 45David GaliatsosD
  • 2G. GranathD
  • 28L. KojićM
  • 6M. NakambaM
  • 77E. NikolaouM
  • 11S. SoumahF
Coach: Y. Anastasiou
OFI 3-4-2-1
  • 1K. LiloG
  • 15A. PoungourasD
  • 43D. NikolaouD
  • 2K. KrizmanićD
  • 24L. DickmannM
  • 14T. AndroutsosM
  • 41A. BouchalakisM
  • 3N. AthanasiouM
  • 10Aitor CantalapiedraM
  • 11T. FountasM
  • 18T. NussF
Substitutes
  • 30T. RomanoF
  • 5K. KostoulasD
  • 19K. KodroF
  • 13P. KatsikasG
  • 6Z. KarachaliosM
  • 8G. KanellópoulosM
  • 23Manuel KalafatisG
  • 17Borja GonzálezD
  • 7T. ChatzigiovanisM
Coach: C. Kontis

Form going into Panetolikos vs OFI

Panetolikos

Super League 1

  • L0-5away to AEK Athens FC24 October 2026
  • L0-2Olympiakos Piraeus18 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Kifisia11 October 2026

OFI

Super League 1

  • W2-1PAOK25 October 2026
  • L3-4away to Kalamata18 October 2026
  • L0-3away to AEK Athens FC10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Panetolikos10307820-129
6OFI105231412+217

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Panetolikos vs OFI

  • 25 January 2026OFI 1–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
  • 18 October 2025Panetolikos 4–2 OFISuper League 1
  • 19 January 2025Panetolikos 1–0 OFISuper League 1
  • 29 September 2024OFI 1–2 PanetolikosSuper League 1
  • 25 September 2024OFI 2–1 PanetolikosCup
  • 11 May 2024OFI 1–2 PanetolikosSuper League 1

Leading scorers: Panetolikos and OFI

Panetolikos

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

OFI

GoalsAssists

  • K. Kodro40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

OFI won 1–0 at Panetolikos. The model had made a win for OFI its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Kenan Kodro 88' for OFI. Sent off: Athanasios Prodromitis (Panetolikos) 69'. On expected goals it finished 0.72–1.42.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Panetolikos a 28.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 20.1% after a win, 28.4% after a draw, 33.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 33.8%, 5.5 points higher than before the match.

For OFI the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 9.3% going in: 11.5% after a win, 7.4% after a draw, 6.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 11.5%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Panetolikos v OFI has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 37% / 28% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 31% / 28% / 41%: the biggest move is Panetolikos's chance of winning, down 6 points.

  1. Panetolikos win31%▼ −6
  2. Draw28%=
  3. OFI win41%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.