1 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result

Generali Arena, Vienna
Referee: Stefan Ebner
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Austria Vienna 0-2 Rapid Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% Austria Vienna, 24% draw, 54% Rapid Vienna — fair odds of 4.55, 4.17 and 1.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rapid Vienna at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

60'
⚽Yusuf Demir (pen)
62'
Yusuf Demir
64'
🔁Tonni Adamsenout: Marco Tilio
🔁Sanel Saljicout: Florian Wustinger
66'
🔁Reinhold Ranftlout: Daniel Nnodim
66'
Wilhelm Vorsager
74'
Vasilije Markovic
76'
77'
🔁Ercan Karaout: Claudy M'Buyi
77'
🔁Yusuf Demirout: Louis Schaub
🔁Valentino Müllerout: Kelvin Owusu Boateng
77'
82'
Jannes Horn
82'
⚽Lee Tae-seok (OG)
🔁Johannes Handlout: Matteo Schablas
87'
🔁Lee Tae-seokout: Julian Hettwer
87'
88'
🔁Jannes Hornout: Jonas Antonius Auer
88'
🔁Petter Nosakhare Dahlout: Nikolaus Wurmbrand
90+4'
Claudy M'Buyi

Match stats — Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna

58%Possession42%
16Shots11
4On target5
6Corners3
1.11xG2.49

Goals against chances

Austria Vienna0 from 1.11 xGless than the chances were worth
Rapid Vienna2 from 2.49 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Austria Vienna 4-1-3-2
  • 1S. Şahin-RadlingerG
  • 46J. HandlD
  • 15A. DragovićD
  • 2W. VorsagerD
  • 17Lee Tae-SeokD
  • 5V. MüllerM
  • 26R. RanftlM
  • 30M. FischerM
  • 7V. MarkovicM
  • 10S. SaljicF
  • 19J. EggesteinF
Substitutes
  • 14K. BoatengF
  • 20J. HettwerF
  • 99M. KosG
  • 6Philipp MaybachM
  • 40Daniel NnodimD
  • 21Matteo SchablasM
  • 44V. ToiflD
  • 28P. WiesingerD
  • 22F. WustingerM
Coach: Maximilian Uhlig
Rapid Vienna 4-2-3-1
  • 1N. HedlG
  • 77B. BollaD
  • 55N. CvetkovićD
  • 6S. Raux-YaoD
  • 38J. HornD
  • 30N. BajliczM
  • 18M. SeidlM
  • 22Y. DemirM
  • 8T. AdamsenM
  • 10P. DahlM
  • 9E. KaraF
Substitutes
  • 21L. SchaubM
  • 7M. TilioF
  • 71C. M'BuyiF
  • 43M. HaïdaraF
  • 25P. GartlerG
  • 61F. DemirD
  • 23J. AuerD
  • 20K. AhoussouD
  • 15Nikolaus WurmbrandF
Coach: Johannes Thorup

Form going into Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna

Austria Vienna

Bundesliga

  • L1-2away to SCR Altach23 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Ried17 October 2026
  • L0-2Sturm Graz10 October 2026

Rapid Vienna

Bundesliga

  • W5-1Austria Lustenau24 October 2026
  • W3-1TSV Hartberg16 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Lask Linz11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Austria Vienna122281123-128
1Rapid Vienna121101399+3033

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna

  • 10 May 2026Rapid Vienna 0–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 12 April 2026Austria Vienna 1–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
  • 15 February 2026Austria Vienna 2–0 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
  • 28 September 2025Rapid Vienna 1–3 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 11 May 2025Austria Vienna 1–2 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
  • 13 April 2025Rapid Vienna 2–0 Austria ViennaBundesliga

Leading scorers: Austria Vienna and Rapid Vienna

Austria Vienna

No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Rapid Vienna

GoalsAssists

  • E. Kara71
  • P. Dahl71
  • T. Adamsen55

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rapid Vienna won 2–0 at Austria Vienna. The model had made a win for Rapid Vienna its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Yusuf Demir (penalty) 60' for Rapid Vienna, Lee Tae-seok (own goal) 82' for Rapid Vienna. On expected goals it finished 1.11–2.49.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Austria Vienna a 37.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 23.3% after a win, 37.4% after a draw, 42.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 42.3%, 4.6 points higher than before the match.

For Rapid Vienna the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 54.5% going in: 60.7% after a win, 48.2% after a draw, 43.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 60.7%, 6.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Austria Vienna v Rapid Vienna has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 23% / 25% / 52% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 22% / 24% / 54%: the biggest move is Rapid Vienna's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Austria Vienna win22%▼ −1
  2. Draw24%▼ −1
  3. Rapid Vienna win54%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.