30 August 2026, 22:30 UTC

Bahia vs Internacional Serie A prediction & result

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Bahia 3-2 Internacional.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Bahia, 28% draw, 26% Internacional — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bahia at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Bahia vs Internacional

Bahia

  • W2-0away to Vitoria23 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Chapecoense16 August 2026

Internacional

  • D0-0Atletico Mineiro22 August 2026
  • D1-1Remo17 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Bahia27121054233+946
18Internacional27610113035-528

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bahia vs Internacional

  • 15 March 2026Internacional 0–1 BahiaSerie A
  • 8 November 2025Internacional 2–2 BahiaSerie A
  • 22 October 2025Bahia 1–0 InternacionalSerie A
  • 28 May 2025Internacional 2–1 BahiaCONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 3 April 2025Bahia 1–1 InternacionalCONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 27 July 2024Bahia 1–1 InternacionalSerie A

Leading scorers: Bahia and Internacional

Bahia

  • Luciano Juba9 goals1 assists

Internacional

  • J. Carbonero7 goals4 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.