Portland Timbers vs Austin Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Portland Timbers 1-2 Austin.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Portland Timbers, 23% draw, 23% Austin — fair odds of 1.85, 4.35 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Portland Timbers at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Portland Timbers vs Austin
Portland Timbers
- D1-1away to Los Angeles FC23 August 2026
Austin
- D1-1Philadelphia Union23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Portland Timbers vs Austin
- 5 April 2025Austin 0–0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 2 March 2025Portland Timbers 1–0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 3 October 2024Portland Timbers 0–1 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 30 May 2024Austin 0–2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 18 September 2023Austin 1–2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 7 May 2023Portland Timbers 2–2 AustinMajor League Soccer