30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Flamengo vs Botafogo Serie A prediction & result

Rio de Janeiro
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Flamengo 3-0 Botafogo.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Flamengo, 28% draw, 29% Botafogo — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Flamengo at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Flamengo vs Botafogo

Flamengo

  • L1-2away to Cruzeiro22 August 2026

Botafogo

  • L2-3Atletico Paranaense24 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Flamengo2717645322+3157
11Botafogo2798104143-235

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Flamengo vs Botafogo

  • 14 March 2026Botafogo 0–3 FlamengoSerie A
  • 15 February 2026Botafogo 1–2 FlamengoCarioca - 1
  • 15 October 2025Botafogo 0–3 FlamengoSerie A
  • 18 May 2025Flamengo 0–0 BotafogoSerie A
  • 13 February 2025Flamengo 1–0 BotafogoCarioca - 1
  • 2 February 2025Botafogo 1–3 FlamengoSupercopa do Brasil

Leading scorers: Flamengo and Botafogo

Flamengo

  • Pedro15 goals5 assists
  • Samuel Lino9 goals7 assists

Botafogo

  • Danilo Santos7 goals2 assists
  • Arthur Cabral7 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.