17 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Referee: Sebastian Zunino, Argentina
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Banfield 0-1 Argentinos Juniors.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Banfield, 30% draw, 38% Argentinos Juniors — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Argentinos Juniors at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Banfield0%Draw3%Argentinos Juniors97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

53'
Gastón Verón
57'
🔁Tomas Molinaout: Matías Giménez
62'
Franco Paredes
66'
⚽Matías Giménezassist: Gastón Verón
🔁David Zalazarout: Lisandro Geronimo Piñero
73'
🔁Lautaro Martín Gómezout: Matías Hernández
73'
🔁Federico Medinaout: Santiago López García
79'
🔁Juan Luis Alfaroout: Ignacio Pais Mayán
79'
83'
🔁Gastón Verónout: Kevin Coronel
🔁Santiago Esquivelout: Federico Anselmo
86'
89'
🔁Facundo Carrizoout: Erik Godoy
89'
🔁Diego Rodrigo Porcelout: Facundo Valentín Jainikoski
90+2'
Sebastián Prieto
Ignacio Pais Mayán
90+3'

Match stats — Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors

32%Possession68%
14Shots13
1On target5
3Corners6
0.83xG2.04

Goals against chances

Banfield0 from 0.83 xGless than the chances were worth
Argentinos Juniors1 from 2.04 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Banfield 4-3-3
  • 50D. RodríguezG
  • 4J. AlfaroD
  • 2S. DanieleD
  • 6N. MerianoD
  • 27I. AbrahamD
  • 10L. GómezM
  • 5Santiago EsquivelM
  • 20T. AdoryánM
  • 18Federico MedinaF
  • 9A. BalboaF
  • 40D. ZalazarF
Substitutes
  • 30F. AnselmoF
  • 19L. CanoD
  • 28M. HernándezF
  • 24S. LópezM
  • 37R. MalancaD
  • 13Brandon OviedoD
  • 35I. PaisM
  • 3N. PazD
  • 7Lisandro PiñeroF
Coach: P. Troglio
Argentinos Juniors 4-4-2
  • 25B. CortésG
  • 17F. ParedesD
  • 16F. ÁlvarezD
  • 6F. VázquezD
  • 20S. PrietoD
  • 7D. PorcelM
  • 5Facundo CarrizoM
  • 15K. GutiérrezM
  • 11N. OrozM
  • 9G. VerónF
  • 27T. MolinaF
Substitutes
  • 32G. InfantinoM
  • 4É. GodoyD
  • 19M. GiménezF
  • 28J. GhoM
  • 35A. AlcarazM
  • 48F. JainikoskiF
  • 8H. LópezM
  • 23M. MendozaD
  • 12G. SiriG
Coach: N. Diez

Form going into Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors

Banfield

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • W2-1away to Tigre10 October 2026

Argentinos Juniors

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • D1-1away to Platense11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Banfield163671825-715
2Argentinos Juniors169432014+631

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors

  • 6 April 2026Argentinos Juniors 3–2 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 21 September 2025Argentinos Juniors 3–0 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 7 March 2025Banfield 1–2 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 12 November 2024Argentinos Juniors 1–0 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 10 February 2024Argentinos Juniors 4–2 BanfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 16 September 2023Banfield 0–1 Argentinos JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional

The full Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors record →

The result against the call

Argentinos Juniors won 1–0 at Banfield. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Argentinos Juniors at 38%. The goal: Matías Giménez 66' for Argentinos Juniors. On expected goals it finished 0.83–2.04.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Banfield a 20.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 7.3% after a win, 20.3% after a draw, 31.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 31.6%, 10.7 points higher than before the match.

For Argentinos Juniors the question was the chance to finish top of the Clausura Group A: 38.7% after a win, 17.5% after a draw, 9.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure about where it was, at 38.7%.

Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.