17 October 2026, 00:30 UTC

Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires
Referee: Luis Lobo Medina
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Boca Juniors 2-1 Talleres Cordoba.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% Boca Juniors, 26% draw, 16% Talleres Cordoba — fair odds of 1.72, 3.85 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Boca Juniors at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Boca Juniors98%Draw2%Talleres Cordoba0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽Matias Alejandro Galarzaassist: Rick Lima
⚽Miguel Merentielassist: Lautaro Blanco
18'
Milton Delgado
34'
🔁Leandro Lozanoout: Dylan Gorosito
45'
⚽Leonel Floresassist: Milton Delgado
49'
53'
🔁Giovanni Baroniout: Mateo Caceres
53'
🔁Rick Limaout: Diego Valoyes
55'
Diego Valoyes
59'
🔁Federico Fattoriout: Valentín Dávila
🔁Ángel Romeroout: Carlos Palacios
72'
🔁Miguel Merentielout: Enner Valencia
77'
79'
🔁Valentin Depietriout: Emiliano Miguel Chiavassa
79'
🔁Augusto Schottout: Timoteo Chamorro
🔁Leonel Floresout: Rodrigo Alexander Bacidalupe
86'

Match stats — Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba

51%Possession49%
13Shots11
5On target1
5Corners3
1.04xG0.45

Goals against chances

Boca Juniors2 from 1.04 xGmore than the chances were worth
Talleres Cordoba1 from 0.45 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Boca Juniors 4-3-3
  • 1Á. MonteroG
  • 17L. LozanoD
  • 2L. Di LolloD
  • 32A. CostaD
  • 3L. BlancoD
  • 25S. AscacíbarM
  • 6R. BattagliaM
  • 18M. DelgadoM
  • 11Á. RomeroF
  • 16M. MerentielF
  • 19L. FloresF
Substitutes
  • 42F. HerreraD
  • 13E. ValenciaF
  • 53Joaquín RuízF
  • 26Marco PellegrinoD
  • 7C. PalaciosM
  • 15W. AlarcónM
  • 27M. BraidaM
  • 12L. BreyG
  • 4N. FigalD
Coach: R. Arruabarrena
Talleres Cordoba 4-2-3-1
  • 32E. UnsainG
  • 20A. SchottD
  • 4M. CatalánD
  • 6R. RiquelmeD
  • 23G. BáezD
  • 8F. FattoriM
  • 5M. GalarzaM
  • 37RickM
  • 10G. BaroniM
  • 11V. DepietriM
  • 9A. ÁlvarezF
Substitutes
  • 1S. BarbiG
  • 2T. ChamorroD
  • 36E. ChiavassaF
  • 26M. CaceresM
  • 13V. FascendiniD
  • 44S. FernándezD
  • 27J. GallardM
  • 3A. MaidanaD
  • 39L. F. OrtizM
Coach: O. De Felippe

Form going into Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba

Boca Juniors

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • D2-2away to Instituto Cordoba9 October 2026

Talleres Cordoba

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • D0-0Independiente12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Boca Juniors169612414+1033
13Talleres Cordoba163491723-613

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba

  • 2 April 2026Talleres Cordoba 0–1 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 23 November 2025Boca Juniors 2–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 7 September 2024Boca Juniors 1–1 Talleres CordobaCopa Argentina
  • 25 May 2024Boca Juniors 0–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 21 January 2024Talleres Cordoba 1–2 Boca JuniorsFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 October 2023Talleres Cordoba 1–1 Boca JuniorsCopa Argentina

The full Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba record →

Leading scorers: Boca Juniors and Talleres Cordoba

Boca Juniors

GoalsAssists

  • M. Merentiel92

Talleres Cordoba

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Boca Juniors beat Talleres Cordoba 2–1. The model had made a win for Boca Juniors its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Matias Alejandro Galarza 11' for Talleres Cordoba, Miguel Merentiel 18' for Boca Juniors, Leonel Flores 49' for Boca Juniors. On expected goals it finished 1.04–0.45.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Boca Juniors a 76.8% chance to finish in the top four: 86.2% after a win, 65.2% after a draw, 50.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 86.2%, 9.4 points higher than before the match.

For Talleres Cordoba the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 84.9% going in: 60.3% after a win, 82.9% after a draw, 90.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 90.6%, 5.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Boca Juniors v Talleres Cordoba has moved

First published on 4 Oct at 52% / 28% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 58% / 26% / 16%: the biggest move is Boca Juniors's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Boca Juniors win58%▲ +6
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Talleres Cordoba win16%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.