14 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Bate Borisov vs Neman Premier League prediction & result

Borisov Arena, Barysaw
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Bate Borisov 0-2 Neman.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Bate Borisov, 31% draw, 38% Neman — fair odds of 3.23, 3.23 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Neman at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bate Borisov0%Draw1%Neman99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽Danu Spătaruassist: Pavel Savitskiy
29'
Sherif Jimoh
33'
🔁Sherif Jimohout: Andrey Vasiljev
37'
Mikhail Kozlov
🔁Victorien Angbanout: Egor Rusakov
45'
45'
🔁Mikhail Kozlovout: Andrey Yakimov
🔁Vladislav Varaksaout: yaroslav khramtsevich
45'
🔁Ivan Mikhniukout: Luka Đorđević
61'
62'
🔁Pavel Savitskiyout: Andrija Ratkovic
62'
🔁Danu Spătaruout: Anton Suchkov
🔁Yuriy Kovalevout: Marat Titov
69'
77'
⚽Andrija Ratkovicassist: Andrey Yakimov
🔁erick puertoout: vladislav yatskevich
80'
85'
🔁Oleg Evdokimovout: Yuri Pavlyukovets

Match stats — Bate Borisov vs Neman

46%Possession54%
6Shots10
5On target7
3Corners1

Line-ups

Bate Borisov 3-4-3
  • 35A. SkopetsG
  • 88P. DubovskiyD
  • 6H. MoussakhanianD
  • 28I. MikhnyukD
  • 23N. BochkoM
  • 52E. KressM
  • 7V. AngbanM
  • 25N. NeskoromnyM
  • 17Y. KovalevF
  • 37E. PuertoF
  • 26V. VaraksaF
Substitutes
  • 13Y. KhramtsevichM
  • 18P. KolosovskiyM
  • 10E. RusakovM
  • 47A. SakhonchikM
  • 5M. SakutaD
  • 16D. SokolG
  • 21M. TitovM
  • 24V. YatskevichF
  • 42A. ZhurinD
Coach: V. Rogozhkin
Neman 4-2-3-1
  • 16N. MatysyukG
  • 55D. GirsD
  • 14S. JimohD
  • 20I. SadovnichiyD
  • 8Y. PanteaD
  • 47M. KozlovM
  • 10D. LisakovichM
  • 15O. EvdokimovM
  • 9S. PushnyakovM
  • 33D. SpătaruM
  • 88P. SavitskiyF
Substitutes
  • 52Maksim AleksandrovM
  • 19A. DaynekoM
  • 1A. MalievskiyG
  • 6A. NazarenkoM
  • 32Y. PavlyukovetsM
  • 7A. RatkovićF
  • 17A. SuchkovM
  • 2V. TonkevichD
  • 24A. YakimovM
Coach: I. Kovalevich

Form going into Bate Borisov vs Neman

Bate Borisov

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Slavia Mozyr10 October 2026
  • L0-4away to FC Sion30 July 2026
  • D1-1FC Sion23 July 2026

Neman

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Baranovichi10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Bate Borisov2859142034-1424
5Neman2815493526+949

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bate Borisov vs Neman

  • 21 March 2026Neman 0–0 Bate BorisovPremier League
  • 6 February 2026Neman 0–0 Bate BorisovFriendlies Clubs
  • 2 November 2025Neman 0–2 Bate BorisovPremier League
  • 14 June 2025Bate Borisov 1–5 NemanPremier League
  • 2 November 2024Bate Borisov 0–3 NemanPremier League
  • 15 June 2024Neman 1–0 Bate BorisovPremier League

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bate Borisov a 22.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 11.6% after a win, 21.8% after a draw, 30.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 30.9%, 8.5 points higher than before the match.

For Neman the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 20.9% going in: 30.9% after a win, 16.9% after a draw, 11.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 30.9%, 10 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.