Petrojet vs Wadi Degla Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Petrojet 2-2 Wadi Degla.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Petrojet, 28% draw, 38% Wadi Degla — fair odds of 2.94, 3.57 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Wadi Degla at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Petrojet vs Wadi Degla
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Omar SalahG
- 4Mahmoud Shedid KenawiD
- 25Barakat HaggagD
- 40Youssef Abdel-TawabD
- 3Islam AbdallahD
- 11Mohamed Ibrahim DodoM
- 17Adham HamedM
- 8Mohamed OsmanM
- 9Badr MoussaM
- 19Mostafa El BadryF
- 15Ahmed BahbahF
- 2A. BahM
- 22Omar DiyaaF
- 7Karim El DeebD
- 12A. HamawyM
- 13F. M. KouablanF
- 21A. LiadiF
- 30G. OkwaraF
- 16Abdel Kafi RagabG
- 29Ahmed YassinD
- 1Amr HossamG
- 23Ahmed AymanD
- 24Mohamed Ragab El SafiD
- 3Omar AdlyD
- 21Ahmed RedaD
- 25Ibrahim El BahnasiM
- 8Ahmed ScholesM
- 10Mahmoud DiastyM
- 14Mohamed Abdel AatiM
- 27Ahmed RefaatM
- 17H. HassanF
- 40Ahmed AbdinD
- 11Mohamed AbdelrahimF
- 20Mohamed JuhaynaM
- 6Kamal Abou ElfetouhD
- 4Islam Adel KanuM
- 22ZizoF
- 9F. BoliF
- 34M. KaandorpM
- 13Z. SeyamG
Form going into Petrojet vs Wadi Degla
Petrojet
Premier League
- W2-1away to El Gouna FC16 September 2026
- W2-1Al Masry7 September 2026
Wadi Degla
Premier League
- L0-2El Mokawloon15 September 2026
- L1-2away to Future FC9 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Egypt Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Petrojet | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Petrojet vs Wadi Degla
- 8 May 2026Petrojet 2–2 Wadi DeglaPremier League
- 11 December 2025Wadi Degla 1–2 PetrojetLeague Cup
- 27 November 2025Petrojet 1–0 Wadi DeglaCup
- 20 August 2025Wadi Degla 0–1 PetrojetPremier League
- 29 April 2024Petrojet 3–1 Wadi DeglaSecond League
Leading scorers: Petrojet and Wadi Degla
Petrojet
GoalsAssists
- Ahmed Bahbah31
- Mostafa El Badry31
Wadi Degla
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Petrojet and Wadi Degla drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Wadi Degla at 38% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Mahmoud Diasty 6' for Wadi Degla, Ibrahim Mohamed El Bahnasi 45+2' for Wadi Degla, Ahmed Abdel Mawgod 59' for Petrojet, F. Kouablan 66' for Petrojet. Sent off: Mohamed Abdel Aati (Wadi Degla) 36'. On expected goals it finished 2.27–1.16.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Petrojet a 7.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 3.1% after a win, 7.2% after a draw, 10.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 7.2%.
For Wadi Degla the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 7.2% going in: 3.4% after a win, 7.4% after a draw, 10.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 7.4%.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.