Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Konyaspor 2-0 Gençlerbirliği S.K..
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Konyaspor, 30% draw, 26% Gençlerbirliği S.K. — fair odds of 2.27, 3.33 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
Has the model earned this number?
Konyaspor at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Bahadır Han GüngördüG
- 17Yhoan AndzouanaD
- 22Rayyan BaniyaD
- 15Chidozie AwaziemD
- 26Arthur MasuakuD
- 77Melih İbrahimoğluM
- 8Marko JevtovićM
- 9Deniz TürüçM
- 10Enis BardhiM
- 91Jean-Luc DompéM
- 11Jackson MulekaF
- 66Rajmund TóthM
- 7Diogo GonçalvesM
- 5Uğurcan YazğılıD
- 19Ebrima ColleyF
- 42Mostafa MohamedF
- 1Deniz ErtaşG
- 2Ahmet OğuzD
- 3Arif BoşlukD
- 45Emir BarsF
- 70İrfan Can EğribayatG
- 88Fıratcan ÜzümD
- 90Metehan BaltacıD
- 6Dimitris GoutasD
- 2ThalissonD
- 42Ousmane DiabateM
- 48Salih UçanM
- 83Rafael LuisM
- 20Sekou KoitaM
- 10Franco TongyaM
- 9Pedro MendesF
- 53Ensar ÇavuşoğluD
- 35Oğulcan ÜlgünM
- 14Adama Malouda TraoréF
- 12Victor OrakpoF
- 7Tiago GouveiaF
- 23Gökhan AkkanG
- 77Abdurrahim DursunD
- 15Arda Cagan CelikD
- 19Cheikh NiasseM
Form going into Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
- L0-1away to Amed17 October 2026
- D0-0Başakşehir11 October 2026
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Süper Lig
- L0-1Galatasaray17 October 2026
- D2-2Amed10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Konyaspor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Konyaspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Konyaspor have met 6 times in the records we hold, Konyaspor has won 3 of them to Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s 1, with 2 drawn.
The record
Konyaspor won the last one 2–0 on 25 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Konyaspor | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 9 goals, an average of 1.50 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 25 Oct 2026
Süper LigKonyaspor 2–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. - 19 Mar 2026
Süper LigKonyaspor 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. - 26 Oct 2025
Süper LigGençlerbirliği S.K. 1–2 Konyaspor - 5 Sep 2021
Friendlies ClubsKonyaspor 0–3 Gençlerbirliği S.K. - 3 Feb 2021
Süper LigKonyaspor 0–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. - 19 Sep 2020
Süper LigGençlerbirliği S.K. 0–0 Konyaspor
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s attack rates 25% above Konyaspor's, and Konyaspor concede 15% fewer than Gençlerbirliği S.K.. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.70 | 1.27 |
| Konyaspor | 0.56 | 1.08 |
The result against the call
Konyaspor beat Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2–0. The model had made a win for Konyaspor its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: C. Awaziem 43' for Konyaspor, C. Awaziem 56' for Konyaspor. On expected goals it finished 1.84–1.16.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Konyaspor a 25.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 19.5% after a win, 27.1% after a draw, 32.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 19.5%, 5.6 points lower than before the match.
For Gençlerbirliği S.K. the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 26.6% going in: 19.2% after a win, 26.1% after a draw, 30.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 30.6%, 4 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Süper Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Konyaspor v Gençlerbirliği S.K. has moved
First published on 11 Oct at 45% / 28% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 30% / 26%: the biggest move is the draw, up 2 points.
- Konyaspor win44%▼ −1
- Draw30%▲ +2
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. win26%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.