SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: SV Wehen 3-0 Alemannia Aachen.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% SV Wehen, 28% draw, 37% Alemannia Aachen — fair odds of 2.86, 3.57 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Alemannia Aachen at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
Line-ups
- 16F. StritzelG
- 18F. GreilingerD
- 19F. HübnerD
- 15J. JanitzekD
- 5N. MayD
- 37M. BrandtM
- 22R. MassimoM
- 7L. SchleimerM
- 6G. FechnerM
- 32R. PaulaM
- 21M. MüllerF
- 8D. BogićevićM
- 31N. BrdarG
- 20Ayoub ChaikhounM
- 28M. FlothoF
- 29P. HercherD
- 10R. KalemM
- 24T. NeubertD
- 14M. SchultzD
- 45I. Ati AllahM
- 1M. RiemannG
- 37J. da Silva KialaD
- 4D. LeonardD
- 2P. BagalianisD
- 3Matti WagnerD
- 29K. KoscierskiM
- 28D. WiebeM
- 10M. LouneM
- 7L. ScepanikM
- 18Ken IzekorF
- 9D. StarodidF
- 23S. BajićG
- 19N. BitumazalaM
- 20Georg ErmolaevF
- 15M. HanrathsD
- 8L. KösterF
- 38V. SulejmaniF
- 17F. TorsielloF
- 11M. WäschenbachM
- 30Justin-Kai von der HitzD
Form going into SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
SV Wehen
All competitions we cover
- W4-2away to FC Ingolstadt 0411 October 2026
Alemannia Aachen
All competitions we cover
- L2-5FC Viktoria Köln11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SV Wehen | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 17 | +9 | 21 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
- 5 April 2026Alemannia Aachen 3–0 SV Wehen3. Liga
- 24 October 2025SV Wehen 1–2 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
- 17 May 2025SV Wehen 2–1 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
- 21 December 2024Alemannia Aachen 0–0 SV Wehen3. Liga
- 19 April 2013SV Wehen 3–2 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
Leading scorers: SV Wehen and Alemannia Aachen
SV Wehen
GoalsAssists
- R. Massimo33
- R. Kalem32
Alemannia Aachen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SV Wehen beat Alemannia Aachen 3–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Alemannia Aachen at 37% and given a win for SV Wehen 35%. The goals: Lukas Schleimer 45' for SV Wehen, Gino Fechner (penalty) 51' for SV Wehen, Roberto Massimo 77' for SV Wehen.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave SV Wehen a 16.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 12.3% after a win, 15.9% after a draw, 19.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.3%, 4.2 points lower than before the match.
For Alemannia Aachen the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 24.3% going in: 29.8% after a win, 22.9% after a draw, 18.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 18.4%, 5.9 points lower than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on SV Wehen v Alemannia Aachen has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 30% / 30% / 40% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 35% / 28% / 37%: the biggest move is SV Wehen's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- SV Wehen win35%▲ +5
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Alemannia Aachen win37%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.