31 October 2026, 19:30 UTC

FC Luzern vs FC Sion Super League prediction & result

Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
Referee: Alessandro Dudic
Full time1 – 1

Final score: FC Luzern 1-1 FC Sion.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% FC Luzern, 25% draw, 42% FC Sion — fair odds of 3.03, 4.00 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Sion at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Andrejs Cigaņiks
29'
45+1'
Baltazar Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira
Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb
46'
56'
⚽Winsley Boteli Mokango (pen)
🔁Oscar Kabwit Tshikombout: Tyron Owusu
61'
⚽Kreshnik Hajrizi (OG)
65'
72'
🔁Théo Berdayesout: Franck Surdez
72'
🔁Kreshnik Hajriziout: Noé Sow
72'
🔁Winsley Boteli Mokangoout: Rilind Nivokazi
72'
🔁Donat Rrudhaniout: Josias Lukembila
🔁Mio Zimmermannout: Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
78'
🔁Andrejs Cigaņiksout: Nando Toggenburger
78'
79'
⚽Rilind Nivokaziassist: Josias Lukembila
80'
🔁Ylyas Chouarefout: Benjamin Kololli
🔁Daniel Mikołajewskiout: Adrian Grbić
87'

Match stats — FC Luzern vs FC Sion

48%Possession52%
9Shots17
1On target2
3Corners4
0.72xG3.15

Goals against chances

FC Luzern1 from 0.72 xGabout what the chances were worth
FC Sion1 from 3.15 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Luzern 4-2-3-1
  • 30K. LeticaG
  • 20P. DornD
  • 21L. LüthiD
  • 46B. FreimannD
  • 22R. FernandesD
  • 80Mio ZimmermannM
  • 29Levin WinklerM
  • 16O. tshikombM
  • 11M. Di GiustoM
  • 14A. CigaņiksM
  • 19D. MikołajewskiF
Substitutes
  • 24T. OwusuM
  • 7A. OehlersF
  • 10Lucas FerreiraM
  • 1S. SimoniG
  • 15N. ToggenburgerF
  • 27L. VilligerF
  • 34D. XhemalijaM
  • 9A. GrbićF
  • 13B. FreimannD
Coach: J. Portmann
FC Sion 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 28K. HajriziD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 20N. HeftiD
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 8Baltazar CostaM
  • 7I. ChouarefM
  • 77D. RrudhaniM
  • 29T. BerdayesM
  • 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
Substitutes
  • 37F. SyllaM
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 10B. KololliM
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 33R. NivokaziF
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 5N. SowD
  • 19F. SurdezF
Coach: D. Tholot

Form going into FC Luzern vs FC Sion

FC Luzern

Super League

  • L1-2away to FC Zurich24 October 2026
  • L0-4away to FC Lugano10 October 2026
  • W5-1Grasshoppers19 September 2026

FC Sion

Super League

  • W1-0Lausanne25 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Servette FC10 October 2026
  • D1-1FC Zurich19 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9FC Luzern133462128-713
3FC Sion138232918+1126

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Luzern vs FC Sion

  • 2 August 2026FC Sion 3–0 FC LuzernSuper League
  • 7 February 2026FC Sion 0–0 FC LuzernSuper League
  • 24 January 2026FC Sion 1–1 FC LuzernSuper League
  • 4 October 2025FC Luzern 3–3 FC SionSuper League
  • 23 February 2025FC Luzern 2–1 FC SionSuper League
  • 10 November 2024FC Sion 4–2 FC LuzernSuper League

Leading scorers: FC Luzern and FC Sion

FC Luzern

GoalsAssists

  • D. Mikołajewski43
  • M. Di Giusto43

FC Sion

GoalsAssists

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango64
  • R. Nivokazi50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Luzern and FC Sion drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Sion at 42% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Kreshnik Hajrizi (own goal) 65' for FC Luzern, Rilind Nivokazi 79' for FC Sion. On expected goals it finished 0.72–3.15.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Luzern a 32.5% chance to finish in the top six: 43.7% after a win, 30.8% after a draw, 24.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 30.8%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.