7 November 2026, 11:45 UTC

Belshina vs FC Isloch Minsk R. Premier League prediction & result

Spartak Stadium, Bobruisk
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Belshina 2-3 FC Isloch Minsk R..

Before kick-off the model made it 18% Belshina, 23% draw, 59% FC Isloch Minsk R. — fair odds of 5.56, 4.35 and 1.69.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Isloch Minsk R. at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Belshina0%Draw1%FC Isloch Minsk R.99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Vladislav Solanovich (pen)
11'
Yuri Kozlov
24'
luka zgurskiy
41'
45'
🔁Pavel Shevchenkoout: Mohammed Javad Daiyabu
🔁Arseni Achapovskiyout: alexander shvedchikov
59'
60'
🔁Anton Shramchenkoout: aleksandr butko
60'
🔁Nikita·Patskoout: Evgeni Yudchits
65'
ivan tikhomirov
71'
🔁Maksim Kovalevichout: Timofey Shkurdyuk
74'
⚽aleksandr butko (pen)
🔁Nikita Golubout: V Kovalev
75'
79'
⚽aleksandr butko
Gleb Yakushevich
81'
83'
⚽Ilya Skrobotov
🔁Yuri Kozlovout: Pavel Seleznev
85'
⚽luka zgurskiyassist: Vladislav Solanovich
90+1'
90+2'
🔁Adeola Junior Adeyemi Olaleyeout: Vladimir Khvashchinskiy

Match stats — Belshina vs FC Isloch Minsk R.

36%Possession64%
2Shots22
2On target9
1Corners8

Line-ups

Belshina 3-5-2
  • 31Pavel PrishivalkoG
  • 17I. VikhrovD
  • 78G. YakushevichD
  • 6D. LazarevD
  • 4V. SolanovichM
  • 10Y. KozlovM
  • 27L. ZgurskiyM
  • 8V. RusenchikM
  • 14V. DavydovM
  • 7A. AchapovskiyF
  • 21N. GolubF
Substitutes
  • 9A. ShvedchikovF
  • 54N. PatsenkoG
  • 44D. MalashkevichD
  • 15K. MalykhD
  • 25A. MakhmudovG
  • 3A. KuchinskiyD
  • 77V. KovalevM
  • 5P. SeleznevM
  • 18N. NekrasovF
Coach: Aleksandr Volodko
FC Isloch Minsk R. 3-4-3
  • 1A. KlimovichG
  • 25A. MakarenkoD
  • 3I. TikhomirovD
  • 33I. SkrobotovD
  • 15N. PatskoM
  • 7A. SvirepaM
  • 5S. VolkovM
  • 22P. ShevchenkoM
  • 8A. ShramchenkoF
  • 19Adeola OlaleyeF
  • 23M. KovalevichF
Substitutes
  • 17S. AbramishviliM
  • 13G. StephenD
  • 11T. MartynovF
  • 99E. YudchitsD
  • 32Timofey ShkurdyukM
  • 18M. DayyabuD
  • 70A. ButkoF
  • 28A. SvirskiyG
  • 77Y. KravchenkoM
Coach: D. Komarovskiy

Form going into Belshina vs FC Isloch Minsk R.

Belshina

Premier League

  • L0-3away to Torpedo Zhodino1 November 2026
  • L2-3Dinamo Minsk28 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Bate Borisov24 October 2026
  • L2-4Slavia Mozyr19 October 2026

FC Isloch Minsk R.

Premier League

  • W3-1Slavia Mozyr1 November 2026
  • W1-0ML Vitebsk28 October 2026
  • W6-0away to Naftan24 October 2026
  • W4-2FC Minsk17 October 2026

What these results say

  • Belshina failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Belshina scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Belshina conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Isloch Minsk R. won every one of these 4 matches.
  • FC Isloch Minsk R. scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for FC Isloch Minsk R. had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Belshina2866163053-2324
2FC Isloch Minsk R.2818735423+3161

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Belshina vs FC Isloch Minsk R.

  • 28 June 2026FC Isloch Minsk R. 4–0 BelshinaPremier League
  • 26 August 2023Belshina 0–2 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
  • 14 April 2023FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–0 BelshinaPremier League
  • 9 October 2022FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–0 BelshinaPremier League
  • 21 May 2022Belshina 2–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
  • 13 September 2020Belshina 2–3 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League

The result against the call

FC Isloch Minsk R. won 3–2 at Belshina. The model had made a win for FC Isloch Minsk R. its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Vladislav Solanovich (penalty) 11' for Belshina, aleksandr butko (penalty) 74' for FC Isloch Minsk R., aleksandr butko 79' for FC Isloch Minsk R., Ilya Skrobotov 83' for FC Isloch Minsk R., luka zgurskiy 90+1' for Belshina.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Belshina a 58.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 19.2% after a win, 53.1% after a draw, 69.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 69.6%, 10.8 points higher than before the match.

For FC Isloch Minsk R. the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 16.5% going in: 23.4% after a win, 4.1% after a draw, 1.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.4%, 6.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Belshina v FC Isloch Minsk R. has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 22% / 25% / 53% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 18% / 23% / 59%: the biggest move is FC Isloch Minsk R.'s chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Belshina win18%▼ −4
  2. Draw23%▼ −2
  3. FC Isloch Minsk R. win59%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.