FC Vitebsk vs Dinamo Minsk Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Vitebsk 0-1 Dinamo Minsk.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% FC Vitebsk, 30% draw, 41% Dinamo Minsk — fair odds of 3.45, 3.33 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Minsk at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Vitebsk vs Dinamo Minsk
Line-ups
- 50N. GoyloG
- 15M. KuntsevichD
- 6K. RodionovD
- 22S. EgorovD
- 17E. NovykhM
- 11A. GurenkoM
- 88E. FrazzoniM
- 26S. TikhonovskiyM
- 10Y. ProtasovM
- 86M. ŽgombaF
- 7R. LisovskiyF
- 8A. AnufrievM
- 1I. NovichkovG
- 14Z. ChervyakovF
- 20E. KrasnovM
- 66A. RadinF
- 18V. AnikeevF
- 23V. PulkachF
- 67G. MinkevichF
- 77R. MinaevF
- 47A. KudravetsG
- 67R. BegunovD
- 12A. IvanovD
- 26V. KalininD
- 25A. TouréD
- 8A. SelyavaM
- 23A. ZhechkoM
- 42F. AbdullahiM
- 11G. AlykulovF
- 10K. VardanyanF
- 7E. MalashevichF
- 3M. ShvetsovD
- 5D. DushevskiyM
- 13V. PolozM
- 78A. SokolovskiyM
- 80L. GwethF
- 30M. DjimetF
- 9A. LutskovichF
- 24A. VakulichD
- 21D. RadkevichG
Form going into FC Vitebsk vs Dinamo Minsk
FC Vitebsk
Premier League
- L1-3away to Dinamo Brest31 October 2026
- L0-2ML Vitebsk24 October 2026
- W1-0away to Baranovichi17 October 2026
- D0-0FC Isloch Minsk R.11 October 2026
Dinamo Minsk
Premier League
- L0-1Neman1 November 2026
- W3-2away to Belshina28 October 2026
- W2-1away to FC Gomel24 October 2026
- W2-0Arsenal Dzerzhinsk19 October 2026
What these results say
- FC Vitebsk failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for FC Vitebsk had two goals or fewer.
- Dinamo Minsk won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Minsk scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Minsk conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Belarus Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 27 | +3 | 40 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 23 | +28 | 61 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Vitebsk vs Dinamo Minsk
- 27 June 2026Dinamo Minsk 1–1 FC VitebskPremier League
- 3 December 2025Dinamo Minsk 0–0 FC VitebskCoppa
- 20 September 2025FC Vitebsk 1–2 Dinamo MinskPremier League
- 3 May 2025Dinamo Minsk 2–1 FC VitebskPremier League
- 20 September 2024FC Vitebsk 1–0 Dinamo MinskPremier League
The result against the call
Dinamo Minsk won 1–0 at FC Vitebsk. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Dinamo Minsk at 41%. The goal: Roman·Lisovsky (own goal) 32' for Dinamo Minsk.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Minsk a 14.4% chance to finish top of the regular season: 27.2% after a win, 5.3% after a draw, 2.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 27.2%, 12.8 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on FC Vitebsk v Dinamo Minsk has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 31% / 30% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 29% / 30% / 41%: the biggest move is FC Vitebsk's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- FC Vitebsk win29%▼ −2
- Draw30%=
- Dinamo Minsk win41%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.