13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Beşiktaş vs Hradec Králové UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Besiktas Park, Istanbul
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Beşiktaş 1-0 Hradec Králové.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Beşiktaş, 23% draw, 42% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 2.86, 4.35 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hradec Králové at 42% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Beşiktaş95%Draw5%Hradec Králové0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽V. Cernyassist: J. Olaitan
40'
64'
🔁T. Sloncikout: A. Umar
🔁R. Yilmazout: Y. Ozcan
66'
🔁J. Olaitanout: W. Ndidi
66'
🔁V. Cernyout: L. Trossard
66'
🔁T. Djaloout: E. Agbadou
74'
74'
🔁S. Dancakout: D. Trubac
74'
🔁M. van Burenout: A. Vlkanova
E. Topcu
82'
🔁I. Fakiliout: M. Rashica
87'

Line-ups

Beşiktaş
  • 1A. Nubel
  • 62M. Murillo
  • 35T. Djalo
  • 53E. Topcu
  • 33R. Yilmaz
  • 6S. Ozcan
  • 18V. Cerny
  • 15J. Olaitan
  • 10O. Kokcu
  • 29I. Fakili
  • 9Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Substitutes
  • 80D. Alemdar
  • 14F. Uduokhai
  • 12E. Agbadou
  • 22T. Bulut
  • 58Y. Ozcan
  • 7M. Rashica
  • 4W. Ndidi
  • 5A. Hadziahmetovic
  • 8K. Kayra Yilmaz
Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
Hradec Králové
  • 12A. Zadrazil
  • 7J. Uhrincat
  • 5F. Cihak
  • 25F. Cech
  • 2D. Ludvicek
  • 16V. Darida
  • 11S. Dancak
  • 26D. Horak
  • 10M. van Buren
  • 19T. Sloncik
  • 17O. Mihalik
Substitutes
  • 1P. Vizek
  • 20M. Vagner
  • 77L. Kubr
  • 9M. Valenta
  • 6E. Neto
  • 22S. Ponikelsky
  • 27D. Trubac
  • 58A. Vlkanova
  • 14J. Hodek
Coach: David Horejs

Form going into Beşiktaş vs Hradec Králové

Beşiktaş

  • W1-0away to Hradec Králové6 August 2026
  • W2-0away to FC Midtjylland30 July 2026
  • W1-0FC Midtjylland23 July 2026

Hradec Králové

  • W2-1Baník Ostrava9 August 2026
  • L0-1Beşiktaş6 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Bohemians 19052 August 2026
  • W3-1Tromso30 July 2026
  • W2-1Pardubice26 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Beşiktaş and Hradec Králové in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
2BeşiktaşSüper Lig5401124+812
6Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga842287+114

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Süper Lig · Czech Liga

Head-to-head: Beşiktaş vs Hradec Králové

  • 13 August 2026Beşiktaş 1–0 Hradec KrálovéUEFA Europa League
  • 6 August 2026Hradec Králové 0–1 BeşiktaşUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Beşiktaş and Hradec Králové

Beşiktaş

  • D. Vlahović4 goals
  • V. Černý2 goals

Hradec Králové

  • T. Slončík3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.