13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League prediction & result

National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Full time1 – 3

Final score: CSKA Sofia 1-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% CSKA Sofia, 31% draw, 32% Maccabi Tel Aviv — fair odds of 2.70, 3.23 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts CSKA Sofia at 37% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽
12'
⚽D. Peretzassist: O. Davida
B. Jordao
26'
31'
D. Peretz
🔁B. Jordaoout: J. Eto'o
46'
54'
🔁M. Camaraout: N. Ben Harush
S. Sensi
56'
61'
⚽E. Soklerassist: O. Davida
⚽S. Sensiassist: J. Eto'o
66'
🔁L. Godoyout: J. Zwarts
69'
69'
⚽F. Lapoukhov (OG)
🔁A. Yordanovout: M. Brahimi
73'
78'
🔁O. Davidaout: E. Madmon
78'
🔁E. Soklerout: S. Abu Farkhi
80'
I. Sissokho
82'
E. Madmon
84'
🔁I. Shaharout: K. Andrade
M. Ebong
88'

Line-ups

CSKA Sofia
  • 21F. Lapoukhov
  • 2Pastor
  • 14T. Ivanov
  • 32F. Rodriguez
  • 19A. Yordanov
  • 5J. Gbamin
  • 6B. Jordao
  • 8S. Sensi
  • 7M. Ebong
  • 9L. Godoy
  • 28I. Pittas
Substitutes
  • 25D. Evtimov
  • 31D. Nikolov
  • 10J. Zwarts
  • 11M. Brahimi
  • 30P. Panayotov
  • 34V. Kaymakanov
  • 38Leo Pereira
  • 77A. Piedrahita
  • 80G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
Coach: Hristo Yanev
Maccabi Tel Aviv
  • 22O. Melika
  • 6T. Asante
  • 5M. Camara
  • 13R. Shlomo
  • 3R. Revivo
  • 42D. Peretz
  • 28I. Sissokho
  • 36I. Shahar
  • 77O. Davida
  • 9E. Sokler
  • 29H. Varela
Substitutes
  • 90R. Mishpati
  • 10K. Andrade
  • 18D. Glazer
  • 19E. Madmon
  • 21N. Ben Harush
  • 23O. N. Azo
  • 24N. Schwartz
  • 25S. Rosen
  • 30I. Noy
Coach: Kenny Miller

Form going into CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

CSKA Sofia

  • W3-0away to Septemvri Sofia9 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Maccabi Tel Aviv6 August 2026
  • W2-1Dunav Ruse2 August 2026
  • D0-0Qarabag30 July 2026
  • W3-2Botev Plovdiv27 July 2026

Maccabi Tel Aviv

  • L0-3CSKA Sofia6 August 2026
  • W1-0Sheriff Tiraspol30 July 2026
  • W5-0away to Sheriff Tiraspol23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
2CSKA SofiaFirst League9720236+1723
1Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al4400165+1112

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: First League · Ligat Ha'al

Head-to-head: CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

  • 13 August 2026CSKA Sofia 1–3 Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa League
  • 6 August 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv 0–3 CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv

CSKA Sofia

  • Bruno Jordão1 goals

Maccabi Tel Aviv

  • Dor Peretz4 goals1 assists
  • E. Sokler2 goals1 assists
  • O. Davida2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.