Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Universitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPS.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Universitatea Craiova, 28% draw, 24% KuPS — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Craiova at 48% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 21L. Popescu
- 28A. Rus
- 3O. Romanchuk
- 6V. Screciu
- 17C. Mora
- 5A. Mekvabishvili
- 20A. Cicaldau
- 11N. Bancu
- 30D. Matei
- 7S. Nsimba
- 10S. Baiaram
- 1A. Maxim
- 90R. Sava
- 4A. Cretu
- 8T. Baluta
- 9A. Al Hamlawi
- 12M. Etim
- 18M. Radulescu
- 19Heriberto Tavares
- 23Teles
- 1J. Kreidl
- 29A. Puukko
- 28B. Magassa
- 4K. Adams
- 33T. Hamalainen
- 10V. R. Gasc
- 22S. Touray
- 16T. Jyry
- 8P. Pennanen
- 24B. Armah
- 11J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
- 12H. Riihimaki
- 37K. Silen
- 3S. Heiskanen
- 6S. Savolainen
- 9G. Engvall
- 13N. Kujasalo
- 17A. Heinonen
- 20P. Parzyszek
- 21J. Luyeye-Lutumba
Form going into Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
- L0-1Arges Pitesti9 August 2026
- D1-1away to KuPS6 August 2026
- W4-0Petrolul Ploiesti1 August 2026
- D2-2Levski Sofia29 July 2026
- L1-5away to Dinamo Bucuresti25 July 2026
KuPS
- D1-1Turku PS9 August 2026
- D1-1Universitatea Craiova6 August 2026
- L0-2Sabah FA28 July 2026
- L0-1away to Sabah FA21 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Universitatea Craiova and KuPS in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | Liga I | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 17 |
| 1 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 43 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Liga I · Veikkausliiga
Head-to-head: Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS
- 13 August 2026Universitatea Craiova 2–1 KuPSUEFA Europa League
- 6 August 2026KuPS 1–1 Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Europa League
Leading scorers: Universitatea Craiova and KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
KuPS
- J. Moreno5 goals
- B. Armah3 goals
- P. Pennanen2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.