6 September 2026, 11:00 UTC

Birmingham vs Wolves Championship prediction & result

Birmingham
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Birmingham 2-2 Wolves.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Birmingham, 29% draw, 38% Wolves — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Wolves at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽Fer Lópezassist: Rodrigo Gomes
⚽Jay Stansfieldassist: Patrick Roberts
22'
31'
⚽Ladislav Krejčíassist: André
⚽Jackson Tchatchoua (OG)
36'
51'
Marshall Munetsi
Christoph·Klarer
53'
Phil Neumann
67'
68'
🔁Marshall Munetsiout: Jordan James
68'
🔁Rodrigo Gomesout: Mateus Mane
🔁Liam Millarout: Demarai Gray
69'
76'
🔁Raúl Jiménezout: Thomas Doyle
🔁Jay Stansfieldout: Marvin Ducksch
81'
🔁Patrick Robertsout: Carlos Vicente
81'
🔁August Priskeout: Luis Vasquez
81'
87'
🔁Adam Armstrongout: Sean Neave
87'
🔁Andréout: Boubacar Traore
🔁Demarai Grayout: Ethan Laird
90+2'

Match stats — Birmingham vs Wolves

53%Possession47%
15Shots10
5On target4
8Corners4

Line-ups

Birmingham 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. BeadleG
  • 26B. Osayi-SamuelD
  • 5P. NeumannD
  • 4C. KlarerD
  • 20A. CochraneD
  • 8Paik Seung-HoM
  • 24T. IwataM
  • 16P. RobertsM
  • 28J. StansfieldM
  • 17L. MillarM
  • 9A. PriskeF
Substitutes
  • 33M. DuckschF
  • 25K. LundD
  • 21R. AllsopG
  • 2E. LairdD
  • 32L. VázquezF
  • 10D. GrayF
  • 27K. FujimotoM
  • 23D. FryD
  • 7Carlos VicenteF
Coach: C. Davies
Wolves 4-2-3-1
  • 1José SáG
  • 38J. TchatchouaD
  • 34N. DjigaD
  • 37L. KrejčíD
  • 3Hugo BuenoD
  • 7AndréM
  • 5M. MunetsiM
  • 21Rodrigo GomesM
  • 28Fer LópezM
  • 10A. ArmstrongM
  • 9R. JiménezF
Substitutes
  • 23T. ChirewaF
  • 20T. DoyleM
  • 8J. JamesM
  • 33G. KonanD
  • 36M. ManeF
  • 14S. NeaveF
  • 24Toti GomesD
  • 12B. TraoréM
  • 13João VirgíniaG
Coach: César Peixoto

Form going into Birmingham vs Wolves

Birmingham

  • D1-1Southampton1 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Wrexham28 August 2026

Wolves

  • L2-4away to West Ham1 September 2026
  • W4-1Stoke City29 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Preston22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Birmingham7241109+110
7Wolves63211410+411

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Birmingham vs Wolves

  • 6 September 2026Birmingham 2–2 WolvesChampionship
  • 15 April 2018Wolves 2–0 BirminghamChampionship
  • 4 December 2017Birmingham 0–1 WolvesChampionship
  • 24 February 2017Wolves 1–2 BirminghamChampionship
  • 20 August 2016Birmingham 1–3 WolvesChampionship
  • 13 March 2016Wolves 0–0 BirminghamChampionship

Leading scorers: Birmingham and Wolves

Birmingham

No player in Championship's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Wolves

  • Fer López3 goals2 assists
  • R. Jiménez3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.