1 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg Allsvenskan prediction & result

Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg
Referee: Fredrik Klitte
Full time1 – 0

Final score: BK Hacken 1-0 IFK Goteborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% BK Hacken, 25% draw, 23% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

BK Hacken at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Jonas Bager (OG)
16'
31'
David Kruse
34'
🔁Sam Larssonout: Kolbeinn Thordarson
🔁Wilson Elliot Lindberg Uhrströmout: Mads Agger
64'
67'
🔁David Kruseout: Kevin Ackermann

Match stats — BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg

55%Possession45%
19Shots16
6On target1
6Corners5
1.53xG0.89

Goals against chances

BK Hacken1 from 1.53 xGless than the chances were worth
IFK Goteborg0 from 0.89 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

BK Hacken 4-4-2
  • 99E. BerishaG
  • 5B. WembangomoD
  • 13H. HilveniusD
  • 15L. VäisänenD
  • 21A. LundkvistD
  • 18W. UhrströmM
  • 6A. DoumbiaM
  • 19D. SegerM
  • 11Julius LindbergM
  • 10M. RygaardF
  • 20A. SvanbäckF
Substitutes
  • 7M. AggerF
  • 35D. AnderssonG
  • 14M. HaalandM
  • 8S. HestnesM
  • 32H. IbrahimM
  • 1A. LindeG
  • 24Bamir SadikuF
  • 23O. SamuelssonD
  • 27C. WawaF
Coach: J. Gustafsson
IFK Goteborg 4-4-2
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 22Noah TolfD
  • 11N. ŽugeljM
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 15D. KruseM
  • 14T. HeintzM
  • 8S. LarssonF
  • 7Alexander Illum SimmelhackF
Substitutes
  • 26E. FasthD
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 35F. LantzM
  • 21L. RadakovicM
  • 28I. SeiduD
  • 23K. ÞórðarsonM
  • 4K. AckermannM
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 20G. ErsoyD
Coach: Joachim Björklund

Form going into BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg

BK Hacken

Allsvenskan

  • D0-0away to IF Brommapojkarna28 October 2026
  • W4-0Degerfors IF24 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Malmo FF18 October 2026

IFK Goteborg

Allsvenskan

  • D1-1Djurgardens IF28 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Gais25 October 2026
  • D2-2away to AIK Stockholm17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4BK Hacken28131055033+1749
10IFK Goteborg2810993646-1039

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg

  • 11 April 2026IFK Goteborg 0–2 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 15 February 2026BK Hacken 2–1 IFK GoteborgFriendlies Clubs
  • 15 September 2025BK Hacken 1–2 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 20 April 2025IFK Goteborg 2–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 15 September 2024BK Hacken 3–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 24 April 2024IFK Goteborg 0–1 BK HackenAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: BK Hacken and IFK Goteborg

BK Hacken

GoalsAssists

  • G. Lindgren132
  • Julius Lindberg98
  • A. Svanbäck88

IFK Goteborg

GoalsAssists

  • S. Larsson83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

BK Hacken beat IFK Goteborg 1–0. The model had made a win for BK Hacken its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Jonas Bager (own goal) 16' for BK Hacken. On expected goals it finished 1.53–0.89.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave BK Hacken a 8.8% chance to finish in the top three: 12.4% after a win, 5.2% after a draw, 2.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.4%, 3.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on BK Hacken v IFK Goteborg has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 51% / 24% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 52% / 25% / 23%: the biggest move is IFK Goteborg's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. BK Hacken win52%▲ +1
  2. Draw25%▲ +1
  3. IFK Goteborg win23%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.